Saturday, July 26, 2008

Lew Rockwell On Supposed "Bankrupt Banks"

Lew Rockwell, on his blog, provides some odd advice, today. Rockwell under the headline "Bankrupt Banks" writes:

The whole system is shaky because of fractional reserves, of course, but if you have more than $100,000 in Wachovia, WaMu, or Downey, GET IT OUT.


But, why single out these banks, and try to play bank analyst? The prudent thing to do, since FDIC coverage is good for only $100,000 per bank, is to never have more than $100,000 at any one bank.

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Sunday, July 13, 2008

Banks in the Danger Zone

On the heels of the failure of IndyMac Bank, Richard Bove at Ladenburg Thalmann has run a few screens on bank stocks to see who else may be in danger of failing.

In a report, he looks at all the FDIC-backed institutions, comparing each bank’s bad loans to its overall assets through two ratios. First, he divides the “non-performing assets” of an institution--bad loans, late loans, foreclosed assets--by all of its outstanding loans. “A ratio above 5 percent suggests danger.” The overall industry ratio is below 2 percent.

Downey Financial, Corus Bankshares, Doral Financial, FirstFed Financial, Oriental Financial, and BankUnited Financial all have danger zone ratios with Downey the highest at 13.6%.

Then Bove ran a second set of numbers dividing a bank’s non-performing assets by its reserves plus common equity. “A ratio about 40 percent is the danger zone.” You have all the same names as listed before, PLUS WASHINGTON MUTUAL which comes in with a ratio at 40.6 percent. Bove calls this being “on the edge” of danger but not quite there yet.

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