tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3758330678390419129.post3697023919825669095..comments2024-02-13T02:39:22.756-05:00Comments on EconomicPolicyJournal.com: If Iran Mines the Strait of HormuzRobert Wenzelhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14296920597416905488noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3758330678390419129.post-19706872666508516402012-10-27T12:24:11.485-04:002012-10-27T12:24:11.485-04:00Every gov't over estimates its own capabilitie...Every gov't over estimates its own capabilities before war commences. Only one Japanese Admiral (Yammamoto) correctly predicted what war with the US meant. The Poles and the French both thought they could hold the line against the Germans. The Russians and the Americans both thought Afghanistan would be a pushover for modern military forces. <br />Not only that, but war is often almost as Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3758330678390419129.post-76871854682248076582012-10-17T18:13:31.340-04:002012-10-17T18:13:31.340-04:00Despite the American tendency towards blind faith ...Despite the American tendency towards blind faith in its armed forces, there is no military way to prevent Iran from closing the Straight of Hormuz. The problem is not so much in the Iranian capability, which is formidable, but in the fact that large vulnerable commercial ships carrying expensive cargo that is a fire, explosion, or ecological disaster just waiting to happen. Once Iran decides to William Leachnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3758330678390419129.post-7568914023093886372012-10-17T13:00:51.452-04:002012-10-17T13:00:51.452-04:00Iranians tried to mine the straight during the Ira...Iranians tried to mine the straight during the Iran-Iraq war in 1987, but the US put a stop to it very quickly. There is no reason to set around and watch them mine the straight for 4 days and then try to remove the mines. It would be much easier to stop them deploying the mines. <br /><br />Of course, the politicians and general may want a war, so they may sit back and allow the Iranians to Roger McKinneynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3758330678390419129.post-49034094609751263112012-10-17T09:18:04.584-04:002012-10-17T09:18:04.584-04:00"Perhaps this simulation will make our leader..."Perhaps this simulation will make our leaders and policy makers beat the war drum a bit softer?"<br /><br />It seems to me that the simulation results would likely make those drums take even more abuse than they already do. This may be a pessimistic view, albeit one that Bob probably shares, but I believe the policies of the US government in regards to Iran are designed specifically tobcatheyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12998214041293058810noreply@blogger.com