Friday, April 1, 2016

Consumer Durable Purchases Gone Wild

Chart via the Consumer Metrics Institute:
The Consumer Leading Indicators track consumer interest in major discretionary purchases. These typically include such items as automobiles, housing, vacations, durable household goods and investments. Not included would be expenditures that are more or less automatic and/or non-discretionary, such as groceries, fuel or utilities.
Tracked daily through March 29.

This is not at all what a recession looks like.

(ht David Jensen)


  1. I can understand your view on inflation. From my understanding of the business cycle, it seems to me that these recent posts are highlighting the leading edge of the coming inflation. This will not end well.

  2. hah inflation shinflation my wife brought a new car cos the auto broke in her old one and the shop couldn't get an new part to fix it, don't make them any more.