There's going to be a lot of debate about whether Kathy Hochul's victory tonight means anything moving forward or not. I think it does. I think it is the first step toward the very real possibility that Democrats take the House back next year. Our national polling has been suggested that for almost three months now and this is the first tangible on the ground evidence backing that up.
Congressional Republicans are extremely unpopular and voters think they're doing an even worse job than the Democrats they put out of office six months ago. That was true in NY-26 and that's true nationally. Last month we found nationally that 43% of voters thought House Republicans were doing a worse job than the Democrats did while in the majority to only 36% who felt they were an improvement. Even in NY-26, which voted 13 points more Republican than the country as a whole in 2008, 38% of voters think the Republicans are doing a worse job than the Democrats to only 34% who think they're an improvement. You can talk about Jack Davis all you want but the reality is that if voters thought House Republicans were bringing the improvement they hoped for when they went to vote last November Jane Corwin would have won tonight.
Another potential lesson learned from tonight- House Democratic candidates may be able to run against John Boehner next year in the same vein that House Republicans ran against Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi last year. Boehner's approval rating nationally is a 25/42 spread and even in this traditionally Republican district it's a 28/45 spread.
Bottom line: Although Boehner's act appears to be more show than substance on spending reductions, the public is buying into his act BUT they don't like it. They want big government spending to continue. In other words, to understand where the country is heading watch those financial wrecks, the PIIGS.
Apparently American Voters don't want their Marxist inspired programs cut or for that matter limited in any way. Even the hard core socialists in just about anywhere else in the world are not that naive.
ReplyDeleteIf the Reps get thrown out, I would take what ever dollars you have left and put them in physical gold, becuase the stage is set for a total collapse no later then 2018 since no politician will ever touch this subject again until the entire system collapses. By then it will be too late.
"Bottom line: Although Boehner's act appears to be more show than substance on spending reductions, the public is buying into his act BUT they don't like it. They want big government spending to continue. In other words, to understand where the country is heading watch those financial wrecks, the PIIGS."
ReplyDeleteI'm not sure why sure why you think this. I think left-wingers buy into the rhetoric and hate Boehner, but I think lots of right-wingers hate him because they recognize it is all show. So, once again, the Republicans in congress just don't get it; they bait-and-switch. The routine is getting old, and a lot of the Fox news talking heads are calling them on it -- thanks in no small part to Andrew Napolitano.
To be sure, most Republicans like their big government programs, but Boehner, et al, haven't even dared to seriously discuss cutting those programs.
I gather from the spinelessness of the Republicans and the shameless pandering and corruption of the Democrats, there will be no change in '12 regardless of who is in the WH or in control of Congress. This country and everyone in it, rich and poor, is doomed.
ReplyDeleteI say keep throttling up the spending. The faster this whole circus collapses the sooner we can get on with the job of building a productive economy that builds long-term wealth.
ReplyDeleteI think it is pointless to exert energy towards cutting, reducing, or otherwise saving the federal government. It's headed for fiscal collapse. That outcome should be encouraged.