Tuesday, September 1, 2009

Ski Bump Recession?

Tudor Investment Corp., run by Paul Tudor Jones, Clarium Capital Management LLC and Horseman Capital Management Ltd. are taking a bearish stand as U.S. stock and bond prices rise, saying that record government spending may be forestalling another slowdown and market selloff.

“If we have a recovery at all, it isn’t sustainable,” Kevin Harrington, managing director at Clarium, said in an interview. “This is more likely a ski-jump recession, with short-term stimulus creating a bump that will ultimately lead to a more precipitous decline later.”

Tudor told clients in a letter in early August that what we are experiencing is a bear market rally.

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