Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Pre- G20 Fun: Chinese Credit Rater Downgrades U.S..

Just in time for the G-20 meetings in Korea, Dagong Global Credit Rating Co., the Chinese rating company that was recently rejected in its bid to be an officially recognized bond rater in the U.S., just downgraded the entire U.S, reports WSJ.

WSJ then points to this report from the Chinese newservice, Xinhau:

The United States has lost its double-A credit rating with Dagong Global Credit Rating Co., Ltd., the first domestic rating agency in China, due to its new round of quantitative easing policy.

Dagong Global on Tuesday downgraded the local and foreign currency long-term sovereign credit rating of the U.S. by one level to A+ from previous AA with “negative” outlook.

The Chinese rating agency said the downgrade reflected the U.S.’s deteriorating debt repayment capability and drastic decline of the U.S. government’s intention of debt repayment.

“The serious defects in the U.S. economy will lead to long-term recession and fundamentally lower the national solvency,” Dagong said in a report.

The Chinese rating agency said the Federal Reserve’s new round of quantitative easing would further depreciate the U.S. dollar and was entirely counter to the interest of the creditors...

The credit crisis is far from over in the United States and the U.S. economy will be in a long-term recession,” Dagong Global warned in the report, adding a weakening greenback will cripple U.S. capability to attract dollar capital reflow.
This is the closest I have see any news organization or rating agency state the true financial condition of the U.S. The U.S. cheerleader, WSJ, sees the report differently:
Needless to say, the markets don’t find this credible. Bond yields haven’t done anything. As the Journal’s Joy Shaw reported, Dagong was little-known before it surprised the credit-rating world in July by publishing sovereign ratings for China that were higher than those for the U.S., the U.K., Japan and other major economies. The results differed from those issued by major credit-rating firms.

1 comment:

  1. 30 Yr up 40 bps since the most recent low (which not coincidentally was made the very minute QE2 was announced). Up 85 bps since the low made just after the commencement of QE Lite. Sorry, WSJ, the bond markets are pricing in increased inflation expectations and risk of default.

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