Thursday, July 14, 2011

Latest Poll has Ron Paul at 14% in Iowa

The latest numbers from the American Research Group have Ron Paul at 14% among likely Republican caucus goers.

The poll taken of Iowa caucus voters in April, by ARG, had Congressman Paul at only 3%.

The message is clear, the more people get to know Dr. Paul and what he stands for, the more they like him as a candidate.

As for overall results, Michelle Bachmann topped the poll with 21 percent.  Mitt Romney placed second with 18 percent. Dr. Paul took third with 14 percent. Sarah Palin, who has not entered the race but has left the door open to running, took fourth with 11 percent.

The rest of the field trailed in single digits.  Newt Gingrich garnered 8 percent.  Sen. Rick Santorum took 5 percent. Former Gov. Jon Huntsman of Utah took 3 percent.Herman Cain and former Gov. Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota tied with two candidates who have yet to enter the race -- former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Gov. Rick Perry of Texas -- at 2 percent. Two former governors -- Buddy Roemer of Louisiana and Gary Johnson of New Mexico -- lagged behind with less than 1 percent.


  1. If you look at the breakdown of some of the questions, Ron Paul is really starting to standout in Iowa.
    (see here:

    1. As Robert mentioned...he rose from 3% previously, to 14% now. The only other candidate that did better in that time frame was Bachmann. Romney actually lost a little bit.

    2. Ron Paul had the largest percentage vote for independents at 24%

    3. Preference by "likely to vote": in the "Definite-10" category Ron is at 10%, but in the "Probably 7-9" category he has the highest percentage with 22%

  2. Bob, I have had detractors tell me that this poll means nothing. My question is, id it reliable and if not which ones are?


  3. @Mike ARG is a legitimate pollster, but they tend to introduce a higher error rate than many other top pollsters.

    But did you notice...among "Likely" caucus participants, Ron Paul leads with 22% over Romney's 20%