Monday, April 30, 2012

It Ain't Over Until They Count the Votes: How the Romney-Ron Paul Delegate Count Is Really Going Down

By Hector Roos

Actually, Mitt Romney is secretly gaining a lot FEWER delegates than you think
It's not just about Romney losing the upcoming contests, its also about him losing the delegates he supposedly already has...
The Mainstream Media and political bigwigs in both parties have declared Mitt Romney the presumptive GOP nominee. This “presumptive” declaration is at best premature when even favorable estimates have Romney hundreds of delegates short of reaching the magic number of 1,144 delegates required to win the Republican nomination.
Romney needs about 300 more delegates from the remaining 14 contests to claim the nomination.
There is a final charge being mounted by the anti-Romney, pro-Paul alliance to make sure Romney does not reach the 1,144 by contesting the last 14 states or by winning hundreds of delegates in states he's supposedly already won.
Various published Romney delegate counts are as follows:
AP/NYT 847 (SOURCE: AP/NYT GOP Primary Page)
The Green Papers 869 (SOURCE:
Recent events, however, indicate that some of Romney’s supposed delegate wins may not be as secure as once thought. This past week, county delegate nominating conventions in Iowa, Minnesota and Colorado were swept by Ron Paul supporters (and anti-Romney activists) leaving Romney with fewer delegates than expected and in the case of Iowa no expectation of delegates whatsoever (SOURCE: PolicyMic).
Clearly, the resistance to Romney’s potential candidacy is mounting a final two-front challenge not only in the upcoming 14 contests taking place next week through June but also in the county and state delegate nominating conventions scheduled through mid-July in 30 states that have already held their primary or caucus (SOURCE: Wikipedia).


  1. R. Rale FitzgeraldApril 30, 2012 at 7:55 PM

    I have been trying to convince people (many that are sympathetic to Ron Paul) of this, and a few of them (once they understood the strategy) have called it Machiavellian, under-handed, an exploitation of the rules and other significant compliments.

    The (R)s have created their rules, and Paul has used them to his advantage. The MSM and (R) establishment will try everything in their power to prevent this news from becoming public, but it will scarcely alter the fact that Paul has played them like a fiddle. The convention in Tampa will be lively!

  2. There is nothing underhanded about the delegate strategy. That perception is only there because of misinformation by the mainstream media. The delegate system, much like the Electoral College, was designed as a representative, (called Republican) form of government, as opposed to "mob rules" Democratic style governance. The delegate system rewards the activist, who may be much more in-tune with the issues, rather than the arm-chair voter.