From Bloomberg:
Hurricane Sandy will probably grow into a “Frankenstorm” that may become the worst to hit the U.S. Northeast in 100 years if current forecasts are correct.
Sandy may combine with a second storm coming out of the Midwest to create a system that would rival the New England hurricane of 1938 in intensity, said Paul Kocin, a National Weather Service meteorologist in College Park, Maryland. The hurricane currently passing the Bahamas has killed 21 people across the Caribbean, the Associated Press reported, citing local officials.
“What we’re seeing in some of our models is a storm at an intensity that we have not seen in this part of the country in the past century,” Kocin said in a telephone interview yesterday. “We’re not trying to hype it, this is what we’re seeing in some of our models. It may come in weaker.”
The hybrid storm may strike anywhere from the Delaware- Maryland-Virginia peninsula to southern New England. The current National Hurricane Center track calls for the system to go ashore in New Jersey on Oct. 30.
I read the #13 discussion frm the NWS. They said their models are just not designed to deal with a storm once it becomes sub-tropical or extra-tropical. Meaning when the storm becomes part of a cold front, their models for intensity become useless. Interesting that people who use economic modeling with such arrogance don't even listen to other sciences around the limitations of their modeling.
ReplyDeleteI don't see much in the way of snow forecast with this one, but it's coming. It snowed last year on Halloween in NJ.
Nature economist Elaine Meinel Supkis writes in linked article Storm of Century redux and global warming: No candidate is talking about that. Twenty years ago, I lived through the Perfect Storm—in a tent! We struggled to tie down an emergency tarp over the whole thing as the winds began to buffet us hard. A tree came down between the tent and the chicken roost and missed everything but we had to stand outside in the violent storm while the tree swayed back and forth before finally deciding where to fall. This was a killer storm and was made into a movie and…we are having sequel, Son of the Perfect Storm, again on Halloween this year!
ReplyDeleteSince this is just before the presidential election, you're likely to see the biggest deployment of FEMA this country has ever seen -- no matter what the storm actually does.
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