Rand is Favorite in Michigan, Way Behind in Illinois

On Michigan, from Public Policy Polling:

Rand Paul narrowly leads the Republican field in the state with 18% to 16% for Chris Christie, 15% for Ted Cruz, 10% for Jeb Bush, 8% for Marco Rubio, 7% for Paul Ryan, 5% for Scott Walker, 4% for Bobby Jindal, and 2% for Rick Santorum. Christie win the moderates (31% to 15% for Paul and 8% for Cruz) and Cruz wins the voters identifying themselves as 'very conservative' (27% to 18% for Paul and 10% for Christie), but Paul leads overall because he's up with folks identifying as 'somewhat conservative' (21% to 10% for Cruz and 9% for Christie).

On Illinois, from Public Policy Polling:

Chris Christie is the top choice of Illinois Republicans to be their candidate for President in 2016. 18% say he would be their top choice to 13% for Ted Cruz, 12% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Rand Paul, 9% for Paul Ryan, 7% for Scott Walker, 6% for Marco Rubio, and 4% each for Bobby Jindal and Rick Santorum. Walker's 7% standing is stronger than we've found for him anywhere else other than Wisconsin, probably because of geographic proximity, but it still shows he's just not that strong a national figure yet. We see the same pattern in Illinois as elsewhere- Christie crushes Cruz with moderates (26/8) and leads with 'somewhat conservative' voters (13/10) as well, which makes up for his getting blown out with 'very conservative' voters (24/12).