Sunday, August 23, 2015

11 Things to Know About El Nino in 2015-16

By Cox Media Group National Content Desk

Ocean gets warmer than usual. The resulting El Nino changes weather worldwide, mostly affecting the United States in winter.

And while the Old Farmer's Almanac is sometimes ridiculed for being unscientific -- for instance, in its prediction of a cold and snowy winter coming up -- the experts on El Nino hedge their bets, too.
One thing already credited, in part, to El Nino -- or maybe it's better said, "blamed on El Nino" -- is  last month's record heat. It was the hottest July on record, according to weather agencies around the world.

Here are 11 other things to know about the weather phenomenon known as El Nino.

1 - CURRENT EL NINO IS NICKNAMED 'BRUCE LEE'
Despite the name, this is not a movie, and this El Nino may or may not alleviate drought in California and other areas.

"A big El Nino guarantees nothing," said Mike Halpert, deputy director of the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center. "At this point there's no cause for rejoicing that El Nino is here to save the day."

2 - DON’T LIKE 'BRUCE LEE' NICKNAME?  HOW ABOUT GODZILLA?
This El Nino is so strong a NOAA blog unofficially named it the "Bruce Lee" of El Ninos after the late movie action hero. The California-based Patzert, who points out that mudslides and other mayhem happens, compares it to Godzilla.

3 - EL NINO PATTERNS TEND TO BENEFIT U.S. ECONOMY OVERALL
While few argue that California needs a wet one, wildfires raging across the state this summer set the stage for flooding and mudslides. Daniel Berlant of the state's Department of Forestry and Fire Protection says crews already have battled 1,500 more fires than a normal year.

But overall, El Nino patterns tend to benefit the United States. Droughts and Atlantic hurricanes are reduced. California mudslides notwithstanding, the U.S. economy benefited by nearly $22 billion from that 1997-98 El Nino, according to a study.

4 - WORLDWIDE BENEFIT… NOT SO MUCH
El Nino does tend to cause problems elsewhere in the world. And while El Nino often puts a big damper on the Atlantic hurricane season, that means more storms in the Pacific, such as Hawaii, Halpert said. So far this year, tropical cyclone activity in the Pacific is far higher than normal.

5 - COULD BE STRONGEST WEATHER CHANGER IN 65 YEARS
The current El Nino, nicknamed Bruce Lee, is already the second strongest on record for this time of year and could be one of the most potent weather changers of the past 65 years, federal meteorologists say.

Read the rest here.

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