Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Scientist Finds Major Mathematical Error in New Climate "Warming" Paper

In a paper published just two weeks ago, on Oct. 31, in the well-respected journal Nature, researchers reported finding that ocean temperatures had warmed 60 percent more than outlined by the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Since then the researchers, with UC San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography and Princeton University, have had to correct a major error in their articles which claimed to show oceans have been heating up dramatically faster than previously thought as a result of climate change.

The correction came after mathematician and climate scare skeptic, Nic Lewis, published a critique of the paper.

“The findings of the ... paper were peer reviewed and published in the world’s premier scientific journal and were given wide coverage in the English-speaking media,” Lewis wrote. “Despite this, a quick review of the first page of the paper was sufficient to raise doubts as to the accuracy of its results.”

Co-author of the research paper, Ralph Keeling, climate scientist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, took full blame and thanked Lewis for alerting him to the mistake.

“When we were confronted with his insight it became immediately clear there was an issue there,” he said. “We’re grateful to have it be pointed out quickly so that we could correct it quickly.”

Keeling said they have since redone the calculations, finding the ocean is still likely warmer than the estimate used by the IPCC. However, that increase in heat has a larger range of probability than initially thought — between 10 percent and 70 percent, as other studies have already found.

“Our error margins are too big now to really weigh in on the precise amount of warming that’s going on in the ocean,” Keeling said. “We really muffed the error margins.


(via San Diego Union Tribune)

1 comment:

  1. Nature has gone the same way as National Geographic and Scientific American. None have been "well respected" for years.