Showing posts with label MorganStanley. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MorganStanley. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Dinner for Two, Two American Oligarchs

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have been bitter rivals. But since the financial crisis began, Morgan CEO John Mack, and Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein have become "best friends forever…", says CNBC.

CNBC is reporting that the two have been dining together regularly, including this last Monday.

I'll let Adam Smith take it from here:

People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public...

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Goldman Sachs Starts the Avalanche That Will Crowd Out Non-Connected Borrowers

Goldman Sachs yesterday became the first US bank to issue debt backed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp under yet another new Paulson/Geithner government plan to shovel money to the politically connected. Goldman raised $5 billion.

Under this program, money raised is guaranteed by the FDIC, which makes it as good as a Treasury raise. Among others, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley, GE Capital are all expected to follow Goldman.

When all is said and done. $300 billion is expected to be raised by this program. That's $300 billion that won't be available to non-bank, non-privileged elite.

Sunday, November 16, 2008

The Transfer of Risk to Idiot Shareholders...and Then To Taxpayers

Michael Lewis, author of Liar's Poker, explains (ViaMP):

John Gutfreund did violence to the Wall Street social order—and got himself dubbed the King of Wall Street—when he turned Salomon Brothers from a private partnership into Wall Street’s first public corporation. He ignored the outrage of Salomon’s retired partners. (“I was disgusted by his materialism,” William Salomon, the son of the firm’s founder, who had made Gutfreund C.E.O. only after he’d promised never to sell the firm, had told me.)

He lifted a giant middle finger at the moral disapproval of his fellow Wall Street C.E.O.s. And he seized the day. He and the other partners not only made a quick killing; they transferred the ultimate financial risk from themselves to their shareholders. It didn’t, in the end, make a great deal of sense for the shareholders.

But it made fantastic sense for the investment bankers. From that moment, though, the Wall Street firm became a black box. The shareholders who financed the risks had no real understanding of what the risk takers were doing, and as the risk-taking grew ever more complex, their understanding diminished. The moment Salomon Brothers demonstrated the potential gains to be had by the investment bank as public corporation, the psychological foundations of Wall Street shifted from trust to blind faith.

No investment bank owned by its employees would have levered itself 35 to 1 or bought and held $50 billion in mezzanine C.D.O.s. I doubt any partnership would have sought to game the rating agencies or leap into bed with loan sharks or even allow mezzanine C.D.O.s to be sold to its customers. The hoped-for short-term gain would not have justified the long-term hit.

Now I asked Gutfreund about his biggest decision. “Yes,” he said. “They—the heads of the other Wall Street firms—all said what an awful thing it was to go public and how could you do such a thing. But when the temptation arose, they all gave in to it.” He agreed that the main effect of turning a partnership into a corporation was to transfer the financial risk to the shareholders. “When things go wrong, it’s their problem,” he said—and obviously not theirs alone. When a Wall Street investment bank screwed up badly enough, its risks became the problem of the U.S. government . “It’s laissez-faire until you get in deep shit,” he said, with a half chuckle. He was out of the game.

Obviously, the government shouldn't be in the game. The shareholders at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley should have been allowed to fail just like Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers shareholders. Burned shareholers wouldn't be investing in investment banks again any time soon, and new financially grounded partnerships would rise from the ashes.


Monday, October 13, 2008

They Are Getting Ready To Divvy Up The Lucre: US Summons Only Super Elite Bankers To A Meeting

The Bush administration summoned executives from leading banks to a meeting in Washington Monday afternoon to work out details of the $700 billion plan.

And, as they say in Chicago, "If you are not at the table, you are on the menu."

For the record those expected at the table are:

Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein, Morgan Stanley CEO John Mack, Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit, JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon, and Bank of America Corp. CEO Kenneth Lewis were all asked to attend. There was some speculation that Paulson might have expanded the invitation to at least three other CEOs from various regional banks, people said.

The FDIC directly examines and supervises about 5,250 banks and savings banks, and Paulosn invites at most 8 bankers to discuss how to divvy up $700 billion?

"It was expected that whatever comes out of the meeting will be used to put the finishing touches on the plan," AP reported its sources as saying.

Report: U.S. To Guaranty Japanese Firm's Investment In Morgan Stanley

In continued moves that favor Wall Street's "chosen ones", it appears that the United States government will guaranty an investment by Japanese bank Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group in Morgan Stanley.

Andrew Ross Sorkin at NYT is reporting (My emphasis):

In what could set an important precedent, federal officials assured a big Japanese bank late Sunday that its planned investment in the embattled Wall Street giant Morgan Stanley would be protected, according to people involved in the talks...

The Treasury’s assurances amount to another extraordinary move by the government and could serve as a model for future deals. The tense, weekend talks were so critical to the financial markets that they drew in both the Treasury and the Japanese government...Mitsubishi and the Japanese government pressed the Treasury Department over the weekend to guarantee that if the United States were to inject money into Morgan Stanley at a later time — a step the Treasury has ruled out for now — the move would not wipe out Mitsubishi’s investment.
Paulson has found another formula that protects his cronies, their jobs and their stock positions, while funneling them money. Remember the days, oh so long ago, of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae officers losing their jobs because they needed cash injections? Remember the days when these poorly managed companies' stock turned to dust when the government put in rescue money? Those days are gone. For Paulson's elite, they will show up this morning with their jobs intact, their stock positions intact (in fact, thanks to the government guaranty, a likely soaring Morgan Stanley stock). Somewhere, Dick Fuld, former Lehman CEO, is fuming.

Saturday, October 11, 2008

Is "Bailout" Money Headed To Goldman Sachs?

I wonder if even the current bought and paid for Congress could have passed the Paulson Plan, if it was made clear some of the money would be heading to Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley?

Bloomberg is speculating that "Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the biggest independent U.S. investment banks, may reap cash infusions as part of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan to buy stakes in financial institutions, investors said." Remember, Paulosn of late has been suggesting that "bailout" money will also head to "healthy" banks.

In the ultimate twist of the current situation that even George Orwell would appreciate, Bloomberg quotes Benjamin Wallace, an analyst at Grimes & Co. who said because Goldman and Morgan are now commercial banks, "Whatever solution they come up with for the banking industry as a whole will apply to them, because they're no longer special."

Morgan Stanley and Goldman were among the most profitable firms in Wall Street history and paid out $36.7 billion in compensation and benefits to employees for 2007.Both investment banks stayed profitable through the first three quarters of this year.

Thursday, September 18, 2008

Morgan Stanley CEO: 'We Need a Partner or We're Not Going to Make it'

NYT reports:

Seeking to avoid the kind fate that led Lehman and Bear Stearns to collapse, John J. Mack, Morgan Stanley’s chief executive, made an unsuccessful attempt Tuesday evening to convince Citigroup chief executive Vikram S. Pandit to enter into a combination, according to people briefed on the talks.

“We need a merger partner or we’re not going to make it,” Mr. Mack told Mr. Pandit, according to two people briefed on the talks. Mr. Pandit, a former senior investment banker at Morgan Stanley, said Citigroup was not interested. [Citi] is thinking of deals it can strike with consumer banks, like buying Washington Mutual out of bankruptcy, that would provide it with cheaper deposit funding


I'm scratching my head trying to figure out how this quote gets into NYT. Pandit could not have told that many people, and one of them leaks to NYT, on something that will put more downward pressure on MS in the morning. Sounds like someone wants to put MS out of its misery.

-Robert Wenzel

Monday, September 15, 2008

The Morning Ahead

The factors to monitor in the morning are near overwhelming.

To start, we have an FOMC meeting. Will the Fed cut rates?

Henry Paulson is scheduled to testify before Congress in the morning, and later in the day he is scheduled to give a speech at the Brookings Institute about the economy and housing. He is likely to be very cautious at both venues about what he says. Will he by accident trigger more downside action?

Lehman has filed for Chapter 11 and other banks have continued to trade with it. Yet, despite being in Chapter 11, and presumably under court supervision, Lehman continues to push for a shotgun sale of its money management firm, among other assets. How will this activity sit with the bankruptcy judge and other bankers?

The Merrill Lynch acquisition by Bank of America looks shaky. Will the deal still be alive by the end of the day? How tight of an acquisition contract was John Thain able to draw up in such an intense, short term period?

What news will develop from the AIG situation?

How will the markets react to the downgrade of WaMu?

Will the panic in the investment bank arena spread to the two remaining major independent players, Morgan Stanley and, the very well connected, Goldman Sachs? 

How bad will things get overnight in overseas trading?

Have a good nights sleep.
-Robert Wenzel

Saturday, September 13, 2008

The LTCM Meeting Versus The Lehman Meeting

When Long Term Capital Management was collapsing the New York Fed held an emergency meeting similar to the meeting held yesterday evening regarding Lehman Bros.

The LTCM meeting was held on September 22, 1998. It is instructive to review who was at that meeting, almost 10 years to the day of the emergency Lehman meeting:

Bankers Trust, Barclays, Bear Stearns, Chase, Credit Suisse First Boston, Deutsche Bank, Lehman Brothers, Morgan Stanley, Credit Agricole, Banque Paribas, Salomon Smith Barney, Societe Generale, Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sachs, UBS and JPMorgan
Of this group, Bear Stearns is gone, Lehman will be buried on Sunday and Merrill Lynch is on the edge. The only other independent investment banks still standing are Goldman Sacks and Morgan Stanley.

This needs to be re-stated. If Merrill goes down, the only remaining significant(that the NY Fed calls to emergency meetings) independent investment banks will be Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.

Maybe its time to re-read my Does Goldman Sachs Run The World? column.

-Robert Wenzel

Wednesday, September 3, 2008

Morgan Stanley Raising $10 Billion Property Fund

Morgan Stanley is raising $10 billion for a global property fund. The Morgan Stanley Real Estate Fund VII Global, the latest in a series of property investment funds, is expected to begin investing worldwide before the end of this year. Plans are to put $1.5 billion or more of that into China.

Monday, August 18, 2008

Morgan Stanley, Goldman: We Are Going To Take Care Of Ourselves First

Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are responding to the credit crisis with systems that use the market's view of their own creditworthiness as a basis for lending decisions.

The message is that "if our firm is in trouble, we would rather fund ourselves than fund you [hedge funds]", a brokerage executive told FT. He added: "We would only use it if there were a real issue."

Morgan Stanley is essentially tying its promise to provide financing to hedge fund clients to the prices of credit insurance on its own debt. If the cost of the protection rises to a certain level, that would trigger a reduction in Morgan Stanley commitments to hedge funds. Goldman Sachs is understood to have a similar arrangement that uses its bond prices as a reference point for credit commitments to hedge fund clients.

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

The Tale of Power versus the Patsies

I reproduce in full a comment by Eric Salzman, as he explains who ends up in jail, and who ends up with a slap on the wrist. Do you see a difference between these two groups other than power and being a member of the insiders' club?

On June 19, 2008 Ralph Cioffi and Matthew Tannin, formerly of Bear Stearns, were led out of their homes at 5 AM to be indicted for conspiracy and fraud regarding their management of two Bear Stearns Asset Management hedge funds. Later that day, in handcuffs, they were perp walked in front of just about every news service that had a camera. They face up to twenty years in prison. At the time Mark Mershon, head of the New York FBI office stated to reporters;

"This is not about mismanagement of a hedge fund. It is about premeditated lies to investors and lenders"

Hmm, "premeditated lies to investors and lenders". It's a good thing that this has been an isolated incident on Wall Street over the last two years, or has it?

Over the last few days, Merrill Lynch, Citigroup and UBS have, under pressure from both the New York and Massachusetts Attorney Generals offices, bought back billions of Auction Rate Securities ("ARS"), that they sold to retail investors, paid hundreds of millions in fines, and "neither admitted nor denied allegations of wrongdoing." Morgan Stanley yesterday, notified the NY AG office that they were willing to buy back $4.5 billion of ARS that they sold to retail investors. The NY AG told them essentially to "go get their shine-box, not enough." Ask yourself these two questions with regard to the entire ARS business and the firms that ran them;

Did these firms tell "premeditated lies" to investors?
Did these firms tell "premeditated lies" to issuers (substituting for "lenders")?
The answer to both these questions is a resounding yes. The NY and Massachusetts AG have dozens and dozens of emails from senior people at these firms directing their sales forces to move these securities to retail investors and represent them as cash-like with a little incremental yield. Meanwhile they knew beyond a shadow of a doubt that the liquidity of these securities was nil. They knew this because they were the ones conducting sham auctions for years to give the appearance of liquidity. The fact was, the banks running the auctions were routinely taking down 20-30% of the "auctions. Therefore, as their balance sheets crumbled, these banks knew with absolute certainty that they were going to cease "providing liquidity" resulting in a the end of the "auction process". The firms used their retail sales force, often without providing the sales force with the proper information which would have been something like this. "You are selling roach motels gentlemen. You can get in, but you can't get out! Now lets get out there and MOOOOVE these pigs!" The banks, after sticking retail with these bonds, left them twisting in the wind for six months, unable to get their money back. Additionally, in at least one case, the head of fixed income sales was SELLING HIS ARS while exhorting his sales force to move the paper retail.

With regard to the question "did these firms lie to issuers?" Hell yes! The banks approach to "Municipal Finance" was to use it as a shill to get "less than financially astute", state and local government officials into a fun house that picked them up by their feet, turned them upside-down, and shook every last nickle out of them. The ARS programs were like any other "boiler room" operation. They gave the false appearance of universal liquidity when it was not the case. I'm going to give the banks credit that none of them thought things could get so bad that they would be on the hook for the entire $300 billion market, but supporting years of auctions and giving the appearance that they were fail-proof, misled the issuers. The banks collected hundreds of millions of fees on these auctions and moved issuing municipalities into interest rate swaps that were mismarked by hundreds of millions (like the $120 million swap "fees" that Jefferson County Alabama paid). The banks created a nightmare basis trade where municipalities were paying ARS rates and receiving LIBOR. That didn't work out too well when the ARS rate went to 20% and LIBOR went to 2.75%.

My question is this; Why are these firms able to pay a fine, repurchase the ARS from retail, admit no wrong doing, and close the issue without a criminal investigation? The damage these banks caused to the municipal finances of this country were catastrophic. Surely at a minimum, this is equal to what Cioffi and Tannin did with regard to the BSAM fund investors. Why do they go to jail and no one from any of the offending banks get bracelets? Fraud is fraud right? Shouldn't everyone get treated equally? I'm not even going to get into to John Thain and his little $5.7 billion "oops" on his last 10Q. Talk about telling premeditated lies to investors and lenders!

Monday, August 11, 2008

Dubai Mercantile Investors Include Goldman, Morgan Stanley

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Morgan Stanley and four energy-related companies are taking minority stakes in Dubai Mercantile Exchange Ltd., adding clout to the fledgling exchange as it seeks to establish itself as a major player in the global crude oil market, according to AP.

The exchange said Monday that the new investors, which also include a division of Royal Dutch Shell PLC and energy trading companies Vitol, Concord Energy Pte Ltd. and Casa Energy Trading, bought their stakes after the exchange's board approved a 20% sale.

Tuesday, August 5, 2008

Morgan Stanley Freezes Some HELOCs

Christine Harper at Bloomberg reports:

Morgan Stanley ... told several thousand clients this week that they won't be allowed to withdraw money on their home- equity credit lines ...

``Consistent with the terms of the HELOC, or home-equity line of credit, Morgan Stanley periodically reassesses client property values and risk profiles,'' said Christine Pollak, a Morgan Stanley spokeswoman in New York. ``A segment of clients was recently notified of a change in the status of their home equity line of credit or HELOC due to a change in the value of their property and/or their credit profile.''

Thursday, July 31, 2008

Morgan Stanley Goes On Hiring Binge

Morgan Stanley apparently believes in taking advantage of crisis.

It plans to use up to $1bn saved from cutting 4,800 jobs this year to hire top-level executives and bolster its presence in areas such as derivatives, risk management and proprietary trading.

The aggressive hiring campaign is driven by Morgan Stanley’s desire to take advantage of the lay-offs among firms hit by the credit crunch to add expertise in fast-growing businesses and regions such as the Middle East and Asia.

John Mack, chairman and chief executive, has told associates that the turbulence, which has caused 75,000 job losses in the US financial sector, is a historic opportunity to recruit bankers, traders and risk managers.