Friday, September 27, 2013

Cruz Emerges as GOP leader

Public Policy Polling surveyed 743 Republican primary voters on September 25th and 26th. They report:

PPP's newest national poll finds Ted Cruz is now the top choice of Republican primary voters to be their candidate for President in 2016. He leads the way with 20% to 17% for Rand Paul, 14% for Chris Christie, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% each for Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan, 4% for Bobby Jindal, and 3% each for Rick Santorum and Scott Walker.

Cruz has gained 8 points since our last national 2016 poll in July while everyone else has more or less stayed in place. He's made himself the face of a government shutdown over Obamacare, and the Republican base supports that by a 64/20 margin. It's not surprising that Republicans identifying as 'very conservative' support a shutdown 75/10, but even the moderate wing of the party supports it by a 46/36 margin.

Cruz is leading the GOP field based especially on his appeal to 'very conservative' primary voters, who he gets 34% with t0 17% for Rand Paul and 12% for Paul Ryan. Voters who fall into that ideological group make up the largest portion of the Republican electorate at 39%. With moderates Cruz gets only 4% with Christie leading at 34% to 12% for Jeb Bush and 10% for Marco Rubio, but they only account for 18% of GOP voters and thus aren't all that relevant to Cruz's prospects for winning a Republican nomination.

Read more here.


  1. Bill and Hillary gave each other a high five when they saw this poll.

    1. LOL, Hillary won't even be the Democrat nominee. I know that is the conventional wisdom, and the media are starting their PR push for her, but she's old news that comes with too much baggage.

    2. I do not like Cruz, but he is extremely skilled as a politician. James carville disagrees about the high fiving and is very concerned with Cruz as a political opponent. He could definitely beat Hillary and carville knows it

    3. OMG, i am agreeing with Jerry.

    4. Think of it this way: Obama only won bc a few hundred thousand people stayed home in Ohio, Virginia, Florida, and New Hampshire since romneybwas to the left of him on guns, abortion, and healthcare. If you get those people out to vote then the GOP wins. Cruz would demolish Hillary or any national dem in a debate. He is smoother than Romney with none of the baggage.

      There is a reason carville is terrified of Cruz. We in the liberty movement should be just as scared bc Cruz has a Goldman Sachs banker wife and would be another Reagan who talks a great game but is a sell out statist. It already seems to be working.

    5. ''few hundred thousand (paul) supporters......

    6. Exactly. All the close swing states had Ron Paul with as many or more votes in the GOP primary than the difference in the general election. Romney got less white votes than McCain which proves a lot of pro gun whites stayed home. This was with historic minority turnout, too. Who says Hillary will draw out the black and young vote like Obama? We just saw two co state senators get recalled for gun control for the first time in state history. The lesson is pro gun people come out to vote if given a reason.