Private equity firms have been eyeing troubled banks and thrifts as investment opportunities as the credit crisis has taken a toll on share prices.Interesting situation, we have a very smart guy in Quarles ready to take the plunge in bank stocks, while we have Bernanke about to the torpedo the entire economy (see Crashing Money Supply Numbers Signal Depression). If Bernanke doesn't start pumping M2 money and if Quarles starts buying without that M2 money pumping, Quarles is going to have his ass handed to him, courtesy of Bernanke.
Randal Quarles, managing director at Carlyle Group CYL.UL, one of the world's largest buyout firms with $83 billion under management, forecasts that many of the investments will be minority stakes -- which can be accomplished without dramatic changes in the Fed's rules. Quarles, previously undersecretary of the U.S. Treasury, said there could be an uptick in investment activity before the end of the year.
"It is going to be hard to raise (capital) in the public markets, particularly for depository institutions," he said. "I think that's going to drive a lot of private equity deals."
On the other hand, if Benanke figures out that he has launched a torpedo at the economy, he may actually start printing money again and Quarles will make a fortune.
Stay tuned. We are watching money supply very closely and will report on what we see.
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