The ADP index does not include government jobs.
The sizable cuts do not impact our view that the economy is headed (or out) of recession. Employment trails the economy. As Joel Prakken, chairman of Macroeconomics Advisers, the economic consulting firm that computes the index from anonymous payroll data provided by ADP, put it:
Despite some recent indications that stock prices, consumer spending, and housing activity may be bottoming out, employment, which usually trails overall economic activity, is likely to remain very weak for at least several more months.I think it will turn quicker than Prakken expects, but the fact that it is not turning at this early stage is not a surprise.
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