and his explanation of his brother's (Richard von Mises) theory of
the difference between case and class probability, he could have taken Nate Silver down in a tweet, instead of a
column that never seems to get to the observation that there is, a big difference between case and class probability.
A tweet like this:
@NateSilver you are an idiot 4 attributing class probability percentage outcomes to a case event, the presidential election. U don't understand the underpinnings of probability.
Nah, he expressed a (subjective) probability based on his state of knowledge. See my comment at http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2012/11/henry-blodget-and-nate-silver-dont.html .
ReplyDeleteMy understanding is that Jonah gets paid by the word. :)
ReplyDeleteIf only he understood ANYTHING! The man is a shrill shill, like his mom.
ReplyDeleteFuck him. And his warmongering.