Actuarial escape velocity is the idea that at some point average human lifetime will grow by more than a year each year. Right now the rate is only a fraction of a year (thanks to changes in medical science and hygiene) a year. If it exceeds one year per year, people will effectively live for ever, without having to solve the immortality problem.There's a sneaky step here assuming that growth in human lifetime continues to accelerate and once it hits more than a year (if it ever does) that the growth won't fall back below a year, but still a fascinating perspective.
Thursday, November 29, 2012
The Mathematics of Living Forever
Samuel Arbesman informs:
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Ha!
ReplyDeleteYa think we have a SS/Medicare problem NOW?
Calling Shirley Jackson, we need a lottery.
Better than a death panel.
There's a sneaky step here assuming that growth in human lifetime continues to accelerate and once it hits more than a year (if it ever does) that the growth won't fall back below a year
ReplyDeleteWell, they're assuming that the average won't fall below a year per year.
Singularity 2050 has written about it before.
if you found that interesting, you'd love Aubrey De Grey and his Ted Talk:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.ted.com/talks/aubrey_de_grey_says_we_can_avoid_aging.html
he touches on the possibility of (effective) immortality, or rather, non-aging, the problems at hand, etc. Really interesting stuff, and the social impact would be incredible.
When do they expect this "more than one year per year" to arrive? I WANT TO LIVE FOREVER.
ReplyDeleteJust as soon as you're dead ;)
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