Saturday, July 18, 2015

Different Price Inflation Experience for Different Folks (The Gasoline Factor)

 Brent Meyer, an economist in the research department of the Atlanta Fed, writes:

I think we can sa...s that different demographic groups appear to have different inflation experiences, as this research by Hobjin, Mayer, Stennis, and Topa indicates.

For example, let's take a look at the difference between the inflation experiences of two households. The first is a single older female (over 55 years of age) who rents her home and has a relatively low income (less than $30,000 a year). The second is a young couple (younger than 35 years old) who own their home and have a high income (over $70,000 annually). Both households have high school educations. Recently, the difference between the inflation experiences of these two demographic groups has opened up to a sizable 2.0 percentage points (see the chart). Why?


Well, the spending habits of these two groups contain a few striking differences. For example, the older female spends a lot more of her household income on food at home, rent, and medical care than the young couple does (see the table). Also, the young couple appears to spend a larger fraction of their income on transportation (a large portion of which is gasoline).


Comparison of myCPI Weights
Average of the previous five years (through December 2014)
A young couple, homeowner, high income, high school education
Older female, renter, low income, high school education
Food at home
7.2
14.4
Food away from home
5.4
2.8
Shelter
23.2
39.8
Utilities
6.4
8.5
Household operations
1.0
1.2
Household furnishings and equipment
2.8
1.3
Apparel
2.2
1.7
Transportation
23.5
7.5
Medical care
4.1
11.3
Recreation
5.1
3.6
Education
0.7
0.2
Other
18.2
7.7
Note: "Other" includes personal care, alcohol, tobacco, reading, and miscellaneous goods and services
Source: Author's calculations based on the BLS's Consumer Expenditure Survey

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