Tuesday, November 14, 2017

Russian Scientist: ‘The New Little Ice Age Has Started’

Astrophysicist Dr. Habibullo Abdussamatov, Head of Space Research Laboratory at the Pulkovo Observatory of the Russian Academy of Sciences, St. Petersburg, Russia writes in the new book, Evidence-Based Climate Science: Data Opposing CO2 Emissions as the Primary Source of Global Warming edited by Don Easterbrook :

Since 1990, the Sun has been in the declining phase of the quasi-bicentennial variation in total solar irradiance (TSI). The decrease in the portion of TSI absorbed by the Earth since 1990 has remained uncompensated by the Earth’s long-wave radiation into space at the previous high level because of the thermal inertia of the world’s oceans. As a result, the Earth has, and will continue to have, a negative average annual energy balance and a long-term adverse thermal condition.
“he quasi-centennial epoch of the new Little Ice Age has started at the end 2015 after the maximum phase of solar cycle 24. The start of a solar grand minimum is anticipated in solar cycle 27 ± 1 in 2043 ± 11 and the beginning of phase of deep cooling in the new Little Ice Age in 2060 ± 11.
The gradual weakening of the Gulf Stream leads to stronger cooling in the zone of its action in western Europe and the eastern parts of the United States and Canada. Quasi-bicentennial cyclic variations of TSI together with successive very important influences of the causal feedback effects are the main fundamental causes of corresponding alternations in climate variation from warming to the Little Ice Age.

(via Marc Marino)


  1. I continue to blame the Russians.

  2. So expect the goverment to implement a bunch of laws limiting economic growth just in time to take credit in defeating global warming?

  3. Finally someone talks about the solar cycle and the impact of the minimum to come. No one that discuses real global environment issues without addressing the impact of the solar cycle is a charlatan plain and simple!

    1. Did you mean to say "[any]one that discuses real global environment issues without addressing the impact of the solar cycle is a charlatan"?