“None of us have much of a sense of what the economy will be like in 2021.”— QuickTake by Bloomberg (@QuickTake) December 11, 2019
Here’s how Federal Reserve Chairman Powell explained the challenge of getting inflation to move up to 2% pic.twitter.com/G0AlZzy7cG
Fed chairman Jay Powell and the Fed Money Pumpettes have no understanding of the nature of price inflation.
First, there is no reason to want any price inflation. You have to be thinking in a Salvatore Dali mode to think price inflation is needed "to get the economy going."
Second, the idea that price inflation is going to climb in some simple linear fashion has no basis in theory or history. Fed members are shallow thinkers to the degree they hold this view.
As I point out in the EPJ Daily Alert, the Fed is not going to get concerned about inflation until it hits 3% but by then the Fed would have to raise short-term rates to around 5% to choke off the inflation and they are not going to do that in the short term. The failure to grapple quickly with 3% inflation could result in it rapidly spiking to 5% (as measured by government price indexes) and then we are off to the races.
The Fed is pretty much run by a group that has economic understanding only a notch above Gideon Gono.
-RW
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