Monday, April 6, 2020

The Curve is Starting to Bend; The Doubling Time of Coronavirus Deaths

Princeton University scientist Sam Wang observes that the number of days for COVID-19 deaths to double is climbing. And that it now takes 3.7 days for deaths to double in the US.

This is a positive, since a climb in the number of days for deaths to double means the death rate is slowing.

-RW





2 comments:

  1. Hopefully this is good data, but I'd like to see more public discussion about how a death gets recorded as a "COVID death." It is entirely possible that there is a bias -- due to strained resources, official guidelines (such as Tom DiLorenzo circulated as coming out of the CDC), or warped incentives -- to liberally record a death as a "COVID death" when it is not really, or without any certainty. As someone else noted, 'flu-related deaths have never received the same scrutiny as COVID-related deaths, so the comparative death rates could be apples and oranges, never mind that the recorded COVID deaths could be too high.

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    1. AFAIK nobody even bothered to demonstrate that Koch principles are satisfied for COVID-19...

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