Men's Wearhouse Inc. commenced a cash tender offer to buy Jos. A. Bank Clothiers Inc. for about $1.6 billion, the latest bid in a months-long acquisition battle between the rival men's clothing retailers, reports MarketWatch..
The company also said it intended to nominate two candidates to Jos A. Bank's board of directors.
The Houston-based Men's Wearhouse said Monday it is offering Jos. A. Bank holders $57.50 a share in cash, a 52% premium over the close on Oct. 8--the day before Jos A. Bank's initial attempt to buy its rival--and a 5.7% premium over Friday's close of $54.41.
Men's Wearhouse's bid is the latest move in a war between the two rivals. Last week, Jos. A Bank amended its shareholder rights plan to reduce its ownership threshold to 10% of outstanding common shares from 20%, amid what it described as hostile actions by Men's Wearhouse that aren't in shareholder's best interests.
Jos A. Bank rejected a roughly $1.5 billion offer from Men's Wearhouse last month, saying the price "significantly" undervalued the company. The retailer, based in Hampstead, Md., first made an unsolicited $2.3 billion offer for Men's Wearhouse in early October, which was rejected.
It's Ben Bernanke printed money fueling these cash bids.
Monday, January 6, 2014
Shanghai's History a Tale of Successful Capitalism
Richard Ebeling emails:
For a Chinese related stock to short in anticipation of the crash, see the EPJ Daily Alert.
I have a new article on the news and commentary website, "EpicTimes," on "Shanghai's History a Tale of Successful Capitalism."RW note: Although Shanghai has a fascinating history, as Richard details, at the present time Shanghai like all of China is caught up in a manipulated boom that is a combination of massive money printing by China's central bank and central planning of much construction. This manipulation will ultimately lead to a crash and it will be blamed on the free markets that Richard reports on. However, it will not be the free markets activities that will result i the crash, but the the government manipulations.
Those impressed with China's recent modernization, epitomized by the new and futuristic skyscraper skyline of Shanghai, usually don't know that before the Second World War Shanghai was already China's commercial, industrial and cultural capital.
This was made possible because before the war Shanghai's International Settlement was run as an almost independent "city-state" that followed a policy of virtually laissez-faire capitalism under which individual rights and private property were respected, free trade was practiced, and civil liberties were secure for all, Western residents and Chinese alike.
Shanghai was a shining example of how a system and policy of individual liberty and free enterprise can provide a life of security and prosperity for all. It is a lesson that would be well to learn today, when so much of the world lives on corrupt political regimes of "legal plunder" and collectivist ethics and ideas.
http://epictimes.com/article/267228/shanghais-history-a- tale-of-successful-capitalism
For a Chinese related stock to short in anticipation of the crash, see the EPJ Daily Alert.
Jennifer Rubin: No More Free Passes for Rand Paul
The crazy lady gets this one mostly right:
Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) gets away, rhetorically speaking, with murder in large part because media and political opponents who know better consider him to be a crank. Fact checkers can only call “pants on fire” so many times where the junior senator from Kentucky is concerned without neglecting the rest of the political fabricators. They therefore let a lot of bizarre and downright false utterances go by the wayside. He was at it again on Sunday.
If you recall he previously said that extending unemployment benefits would be a “disservice“ to the unemployed. You can debate that proposition (Does the availability of minimal benefits cause people to slow down their job search?), but it ostensibly was based on the desire to attend to the needs of the jobless. But no more of that, Rand Paul now says. It’s simply a matter of money — taxpayer money. He’s decided that if we “pay for it” (i.e. cut elsewhere) we can extend the benefits. Won’t the jobless then be disserved — or was his previous opposition based on phony sentiments about what is good for the poor?
If he is really concerned about the cost of unemployment benefits (about $25 billion for three months), then he’s fighting over nickels in the couch. The debt is over $17 trillion. (This is akin to his obsession over foreign aid spending, which is about 1 percent of federal spending.) It is hard to know whether Rand Paul is an opportunist, uniformed or both.
Angela Merkel Breaks Her Pelvis
Angela Merkel suffered a pelvic fracture after falling during a cross-country ski trip, and she will be out of commission for three weeks, a government spokesman said on Monday.
Merkel fractured her pelvis while on vacation in Switzerland, and then flew back to Berlin on December 30, where she delivered the New Year’s address. Initially, she thought the injury was just a bruise,
Because of the injury she will not be attending the power elite meetings at Davos.
Merkel fractured her pelvis while on vacation in Switzerland, and then flew back to Berlin on December 30, where she delivered the New Year’s address. Initially, she thought the injury was just a bruise,
Because of the injury she will not be attending the power elite meetings at Davos.
Peter Schiff: Will the Fed Save Us?
Too Big To Pop
By Peter Schiff
Most economic observers are predicting that 2014 will be the year in which the United States finally shrugs off the persistent malaise of the Great Recession. As we embark on this sunny new chapter, we may ask what wisdom the five-year trauma has delivered. Some big thinkers have declared that the episode has forever tarnished freewheeling American capitalism and the myth of Wall Street invincibility. In contrast, I believe that the episode has, for the moment, established supreme confidence in the powers of monetary policy to keep the economy afloat and to keep a floor under asset prices, even in the worst of circumstances. This represents a dramatic change from where we were in the beginning of 2008, and unfortunately gives us the false confidence needed to sail blindly into the next crisis.
Although the media likes to forget, there was indeed a strong minority of bearish investors who did not drink the Goldilocks Kool-Aid of the pre-crisis era. As the Dow moved up in 2006 and 2007 so did gold, even though a rising gold price was supposed to be a sign of economic uncertainty. The counter intuitive gold surge in those years resulted from growing concern among a committed minority that an economic crisis was looming. In the immediate aftermath of the crisis in 2009 and 2010, gold shifted into an even higher gear when those investors became doubly convinced that the extraordinary monetary measures devised by the Fed to combat the recession would fail to stop the economic free fall and would instead kick off a new era of inflation and dollar weakness. This caused many who had been gold naysayers and economic cheerleaders to reluctantly jump on the gold band wagon as well.
But three years later, after a period of monetary activism that went far beyond what most bears had predicted, the economy has apparently turned the corner. The Dow has surged to record levels, inflation (at least the way it is currently being measured) and interest rates have stayed relatively low, and the dollar has largely maintained its value. Ironically, many of those former Nervous Nellies, who correctly identified the problems in advance, have thrown in the towel and concluded that their fears of out of control monetary policy were misplaced. While many of those who had always placed their faith in the Fed (but who had failed - as did Fed leadership - from seeing the crisis in advance) are more confident than ever that the Central Bank can save us from the worst.
A primary element of this new faith is that the Fed can sustain any number of asset bubbles if it simply supplies enough air in the form of freshly minted QE cash and zero percent interest. It's as if the concept of "too big to fail" has evolved into the belief that some bubbles are too big to pop. The warnings delivered by those of us who still understand the negative consequences of such policy have been silenced by the triumphant Dow.
The proof of this shift in sentiment can be seen in the current gold market. If the conditions of 2013 (in which the Federal Government serially failed to control a runaway debt problem, while the Federal Reserve persisted with an $85 billion per month bond buying program and signaled zero interest rates for the foreseeable future)could have been described to a 2007 investor, their conclusions would have most likely been obvious: back up the truck and buy gold. Instead, gold tumbled more than 27% over the course of the year. And despite the fact that 2013 was the first down year for gold in 13 years, one would be hard pressed now to find any mainstream analyst who describes the current three year lows as a buying opportunity. Instead, gold is the redheaded stepchild of the investment world.
This change can only be explained by the growing acceptance of monetary policy as the magic elixir that Keynesians have always claimed it to be. This blind faith has prevented investors from seeing the obvious economic crises that may lay ahead. Over the past five years the economy has become increasingly addicted to low interest rates, which underlies the recent surge in stock prices. Low borrowing costs have inflated corporate profits and have made possible the wave of record stock buybacks. The same is true of the real estate market, which has been buoyed by record low interest rates and a wave of institutional investors using historically easy financing to buy single-family houses in order to rent to average Americans who can no longer afford to buy.
But somehow investors have failed to grasp that the low interest rates are the direct result of the Fed's Quantitative Easing program, which most assume will be wound down in this year. In order to maintain the current optimism, one must assume that the Fed can exit the bond buying business (where it is currently the largest player) without pushing up rates to the point that these markets are severely impacted. This ascribes almost superhuman powers to the Fed. But that type of faith is now the norm.
Market observers have taken the December Fed statement, in which it announced its long-awaited intention to begin tapering (by $10 billion per month), as proof that the dangers are behind us, rather than ahead. They argue that the QE has now gone away without causing turmoil in the markets or a spike in rates. But this ignores the fact that the taper itself has not even begun, and that the Fed has only committed to a $10 billion reduction later this month. In fact, it is arguable that monetary policy is looser now than it was before the announcement.
Based on nothing but pure optimism, the market believes that the Fed can somehow contract its $4 trillion balance sheet without pushing up rates to the point where asset prices are threatened, or where debt service costs become too big a burden for debtors to bear. Such faith would have been impossible to achieve in the time before the crash, when most assumed that the laws of supply and demand functioned in the market for mortgage and government debt. Now we "know" that the demand is endless. This mistakes temporary geo-political paralysis and financial sleepwalking for a fundamental suspension of reality.
The more likely truth is that this widespread mistake will allow us to drift into the next crisis. Now that the European Union has survived its monetary challenge, (the surging euro was one of the surprise stories of 2013), and the developing Asian economies have no immediate plans to stop their currencies from rising against the dollar, there is little reason to expect that the dollar will rally in the coming years. In fact, there has been little notice taken of the 5% decline in the dollar index since a high in July. Similarly, few have sounded alarm bells about the surge in yields of Treasury debt, with 10-year rates flirting with 3% for the first time in two years.
If interest rates rise much further, to perhaps 4% or 5%, the stock and real estate markets will be placed under pressure, and the Fed and the other "Too Big to Fail" banks will see considerablelosses on their portfolios of Treasury and mortgage-backed bonds. Such developments could trigger widespread economic turmoil, forcing the Fed to expand its QE purchases. Such an embarrassing reversal would add to selling pressure on the dollar, and might potentially trigger an exodus of foreign investment and an increase in import prices. I believe that nothing can prevent these trends from continuing to the point where a crisis will be reached. It's extremely difficult to construct a logical argument that avoids this outcome, but that hasn't stopped our best and brightest forecasters from doing just that.
So while the hallelujah chorus is ringing in the New Year with a full-throated crescendo, don't be surprised by sour notes that will bubble to the top with increasing frequency. Ultimately the power of monetary policy to engineer a real economy will be proven to be just as ridiculous as the claims that housing prices must always go up.
Peter Schiff is the CEO and Chief Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Capital, best-selling author and host of syndicated Peter Schiff Show.
By Peter Schiff
Most economic observers are predicting that 2014 will be the year in which the United States finally shrugs off the persistent malaise of the Great Recession. As we embark on this sunny new chapter, we may ask what wisdom the five-year trauma has delivered. Some big thinkers have declared that the episode has forever tarnished freewheeling American capitalism and the myth of Wall Street invincibility. In contrast, I believe that the episode has, for the moment, established supreme confidence in the powers of monetary policy to keep the economy afloat and to keep a floor under asset prices, even in the worst of circumstances. This represents a dramatic change from where we were in the beginning of 2008, and unfortunately gives us the false confidence needed to sail blindly into the next crisis.
Although the media likes to forget, there was indeed a strong minority of bearish investors who did not drink the Goldilocks Kool-Aid of the pre-crisis era. As the Dow moved up in 2006 and 2007 so did gold, even though a rising gold price was supposed to be a sign of economic uncertainty. The counter intuitive gold surge in those years resulted from growing concern among a committed minority that an economic crisis was looming. In the immediate aftermath of the crisis in 2009 and 2010, gold shifted into an even higher gear when those investors became doubly convinced that the extraordinary monetary measures devised by the Fed to combat the recession would fail to stop the economic free fall and would instead kick off a new era of inflation and dollar weakness. This caused many who had been gold naysayers and economic cheerleaders to reluctantly jump on the gold band wagon as well.
But three years later, after a period of monetary activism that went far beyond what most bears had predicted, the economy has apparently turned the corner. The Dow has surged to record levels, inflation (at least the way it is currently being measured) and interest rates have stayed relatively low, and the dollar has largely maintained its value. Ironically, many of those former Nervous Nellies, who correctly identified the problems in advance, have thrown in the towel and concluded that their fears of out of control monetary policy were misplaced. While many of those who had always placed their faith in the Fed (but who had failed - as did Fed leadership - from seeing the crisis in advance) are more confident than ever that the Central Bank can save us from the worst.
A primary element of this new faith is that the Fed can sustain any number of asset bubbles if it simply supplies enough air in the form of freshly minted QE cash and zero percent interest. It's as if the concept of "too big to fail" has evolved into the belief that some bubbles are too big to pop. The warnings delivered by those of us who still understand the negative consequences of such policy have been silenced by the triumphant Dow.
The proof of this shift in sentiment can be seen in the current gold market. If the conditions of 2013 (in which the Federal Government serially failed to control a runaway debt problem, while the Federal Reserve persisted with an $85 billion per month bond buying program and signaled zero interest rates for the foreseeable future)could have been described to a 2007 investor, their conclusions would have most likely been obvious: back up the truck and buy gold. Instead, gold tumbled more than 27% over the course of the year. And despite the fact that 2013 was the first down year for gold in 13 years, one would be hard pressed now to find any mainstream analyst who describes the current three year lows as a buying opportunity. Instead, gold is the redheaded stepchild of the investment world.
This change can only be explained by the growing acceptance of monetary policy as the magic elixir that Keynesians have always claimed it to be. This blind faith has prevented investors from seeing the obvious economic crises that may lay ahead. Over the past five years the economy has become increasingly addicted to low interest rates, which underlies the recent surge in stock prices. Low borrowing costs have inflated corporate profits and have made possible the wave of record stock buybacks. The same is true of the real estate market, which has been buoyed by record low interest rates and a wave of institutional investors using historically easy financing to buy single-family houses in order to rent to average Americans who can no longer afford to buy.
But somehow investors have failed to grasp that the low interest rates are the direct result of the Fed's Quantitative Easing program, which most assume will be wound down in this year. In order to maintain the current optimism, one must assume that the Fed can exit the bond buying business (where it is currently the largest player) without pushing up rates to the point that these markets are severely impacted. This ascribes almost superhuman powers to the Fed. But that type of faith is now the norm.
Market observers have taken the December Fed statement, in which it announced its long-awaited intention to begin tapering (by $10 billion per month), as proof that the dangers are behind us, rather than ahead. They argue that the QE has now gone away without causing turmoil in the markets or a spike in rates. But this ignores the fact that the taper itself has not even begun, and that the Fed has only committed to a $10 billion reduction later this month. In fact, it is arguable that monetary policy is looser now than it was before the announcement.
Based on nothing but pure optimism, the market believes that the Fed can somehow contract its $4 trillion balance sheet without pushing up rates to the point where asset prices are threatened, or where debt service costs become too big a burden for debtors to bear. Such faith would have been impossible to achieve in the time before the crash, when most assumed that the laws of supply and demand functioned in the market for mortgage and government debt. Now we "know" that the demand is endless. This mistakes temporary geo-political paralysis and financial sleepwalking for a fundamental suspension of reality.
The more likely truth is that this widespread mistake will allow us to drift into the next crisis. Now that the European Union has survived its monetary challenge, (the surging euro was one of the surprise stories of 2013), and the developing Asian economies have no immediate plans to stop their currencies from rising against the dollar, there is little reason to expect that the dollar will rally in the coming years. In fact, there has been little notice taken of the 5% decline in the dollar index since a high in July. Similarly, few have sounded alarm bells about the surge in yields of Treasury debt, with 10-year rates flirting with 3% for the first time in two years.
If interest rates rise much further, to perhaps 4% or 5%, the stock and real estate markets will be placed under pressure, and the Fed and the other "Too Big to Fail" banks will see considerablelosses on their portfolios of Treasury and mortgage-backed bonds. Such developments could trigger widespread economic turmoil, forcing the Fed to expand its QE purchases. Such an embarrassing reversal would add to selling pressure on the dollar, and might potentially trigger an exodus of foreign investment and an increase in import prices. I believe that nothing can prevent these trends from continuing to the point where a crisis will be reached. It's extremely difficult to construct a logical argument that avoids this outcome, but that hasn't stopped our best and brightest forecasters from doing just that.
So while the hallelujah chorus is ringing in the New Year with a full-throated crescendo, don't be surprised by sour notes that will bubble to the top with increasing frequency. Ultimately the power of monetary policy to engineer a real economy will be proven to be just as ridiculous as the claims that housing prices must always go up.
Peter Schiff is the CEO and Chief Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Capital, best-selling author and host of syndicated Peter Schiff Show.
In Review: "A Libertarian Critique of Intellectual Property"
Butler Shaffer's A Libertarian Critique of Intellectual Property is a tiny booklet. It measures only 4" x 6" in size and is only 58 pages long--this includes the index and a 9 page introduction by David Gordon. Yet, I found many observations throughout the book relative to his anti-IP position that are worthy of comment.
Shaffer begins the booklet by telling us that the libertarian perspective is
But then Shaffer quickly takes an odd turn. He writes:
Certainly, if person A has some information, let us call it a secret, and says to person B, "I will tell you this as long as you don't tell anyone else," and person B accepts the offer, then an informal IP agreement has been created. If I live in a private property society and have a formula that provides clues as to how a blog post should be written so that it is linked by the Drudge Report, and I agree to tell you the formula in exchange for $10,000 and your agreement that you will not reveal the formula to anyone else, I have entered into an informal IP contract. Note, I am not here discussing the ease or difficulty with which such a contract can be enforced, but merely whether it can be created informally, outside the political system. It should be clear that such contracts can be created. Thus, government IP laws have nothing to do with the concept of IP itself, anymore than government police are at the core of physical private property. Does Shaffer want to argue that because physical private property is largely protected by government police and government laws that the concept of private physical property is flawed?
Shaffer goes on to write:
He then writes, seeming to suggest another quandary for libertarian supporters of IP:
Shaffer then attempts to justify his anti-IP position by referencing common law, where he seems to find a copyright law more amenable to his anti-IP position:
Shaffer then makes a very odd utilitarian justification for his anti-IP position:
Ludwig von Mises in Socialism (p.168) reminds us:
Further, what about research projects that take years and significant amounts of capital to produce a product? Is Shaffer suggesting that these projects would go on, if competitors could immediately reproduce the products, without the outlay in research capital, by just copying the fruits of another's labor and spent capital? Naming geniuses is a very weak reed from which to launch a utilitarian based attack on IP.
On another point re this paragraph, Shaffer fails to make a crucial distinction between copyrights and patents. He states that they are both monopolistic grants. This is not the case. As Murray Rothbard wrote in Man, Economy and State, there are important differences between copyright and patent, whereby even at the government enforcement level copyright is not a monopolistic grant:
Shaffer also hoists one of my favorite bizarre attacks on IP. He tells us:
Note: The only area where it would make sense to actively seek IP protection of a word is when it identifies a specific product, e.g. Coca Cola (which in this case would be trademark IP), so that when we order this product we have a name for it that others making other products can't use. It this case, it would eliminate confusion. But the copyright of everyday words for common usage would never happen.
Shaffer then goes on to state a problem with government granting IP protection, but, again, this has nothing to do with IP in a private property society, though he fails to make clear the difference.
Shaffer concludes:
Shaffer begins the booklet by telling us that the libertarian perspective is
premised upon respect for private property and the rejection of coercionI have no problem with this characterization by Shaffer.
But then Shaffer quickly takes an odd turn. He writes:
Are the origins of IP interests to be found in the informal process by which men and women accord to each other a respect for the inviolability of their lives- along with claims to external resources (e.g. land, food, water, etc.). Or are they to be established by formally enacted rules by political systems? In a world grounded in institutional structuring, it is often difficult to find people willing to consider the possibility that property interests could derive from any source other than an acknowledged authority[...] I do raise the question of whether, from a libertarian viewpoint, any philosophical defensible ownership claims could be created by political systems? [...] The question which I focus is this: in the same way that respect for individual property claims can arise informally among men and women, is there evidence for such claims to IP being so recognized?Thus, it appears that Shaffer thinks he has struck his first blow against IP. But what difference should it make what the origins of IP are? The question that should be asked is "Can IP informally arise among men and women?"
Certainly, if person A has some information, let us call it a secret, and says to person B, "I will tell you this as long as you don't tell anyone else," and person B accepts the offer, then an informal IP agreement has been created. If I live in a private property society and have a formula that provides clues as to how a blog post should be written so that it is linked by the Drudge Report, and I agree to tell you the formula in exchange for $10,000 and your agreement that you will not reveal the formula to anyone else, I have entered into an informal IP contract. Note, I am not here discussing the ease or difficulty with which such a contract can be enforced, but merely whether it can be created informally, outside the political system. It should be clear that such contracts can be created. Thus, government IP laws have nothing to do with the concept of IP itself, anymore than government police are at the core of physical private property. Does Shaffer want to argue that because physical private property is largely protected by government police and government laws that the concept of private physical property is flawed?
Shaffer goes on to write:
[...] when the state-with its monopolistic powers-acts for the benefit of the few, all are legally bound by the rules whether they agree with them or not. If copyrights, patents or trademark protections are not recognized among free people-unless specifically contracted for between two parties-by what reasoning can the state create and enforce such interest upon persons who have not agreed to be so bound?This is correct, but it is certainly not an argument against IP, but rather government involvement in IP.
He then writes, seeming to suggest another quandary for libertarian supporters of IP:
Nor can the inclusion of a copyright notice in a book be defended, under contract principles, as such provides no evidence that the buyer has agreed to respect the presumed property claim prior to his purchase.To which, I reply, so what? What does this have to do with IP? It has to do with government involvement in IP. It is not difficult to see how a book could be sold in a private property society while maintaining the sanctity of contract. If company A publishes books, it can certainly contract with book retailers in a manner in which retailers agree not sell the publishers' books unless the retailers ensure that book buyers agree not to reproduce the books in any fashion. This could be accomplished by the retailer at the checkout counter where a book buyer would be required to simply sign a paper agreeing not to reproduce a given book, to be allowed to purchase the book.
Shaffer then attempts to justify his anti-IP position by referencing common law, where he seems to find a copyright law more amenable to his anti-IP position:
At the early common law-and until 1977 in America-a limited copyright principle existed . A person who had written a book or poem, placed it in her desk drawer, and it was later removed by another and published without her consent, maintained a copyright to her work. If however, the author had the work published-which meant, as the word implies, made "public"-she lost such copyright, the act of publication being treated as a abandonment of control over her claim of ownership.But is common law a contract between two consenting parties, or simply another form of intrusion by outsiders on contracts? What does this have to do with IP in a libertarian society? I would argue, nothing.
Shaffer then makes a very odd utilitarian justification for his anti-IP position:
The notion that the anticipation of monopolistic rewards such as patents and copyrights is essential to the creative process, is negated by much of history. I am unaware of such copyrights having been issued to writers such as Aeschlyus, Homer, Shakespeare, Dante or Milton; or composers such as Beethoven, Bach, Mozart, Wagner or Tchaikovsky.It is noteworthy that Shaffer only cites creative geniuses, who, indeed, may not have been motivated by money and required little in terms of capital to produce their creations.
Ludwig von Mises in Socialism (p.168) reminds us:
The great creative genius who perpetuates himself in immortal works and deeds does not when working distinguish the pain from the pleasure. For such men creation is at once the greatest joy and the bitterest torment, an inner necessity. What they create has no value to them as product: they create for the sake of creation not the results.Is Shaffer proposing, in opposition to Mises, that geniuses are not a special category and that the attitudes of most people towards money are the same as geniuses?
Further, what about research projects that take years and significant amounts of capital to produce a product? Is Shaffer suggesting that these projects would go on, if competitors could immediately reproduce the products, without the outlay in research capital, by just copying the fruits of another's labor and spent capital? Naming geniuses is a very weak reed from which to launch a utilitarian based attack on IP.
On another point re this paragraph, Shaffer fails to make a crucial distinction between copyrights and patents. He states that they are both monopolistic grants. This is not the case. As Murray Rothbard wrote in Man, Economy and State, there are important differences between copyright and patent, whereby even at the government enforcement level copyright is not a monopolistic grant:
Patents[...] are grants of exclusively monopoly privilege by the State and are invasive of property rights on the market[...]
The crucial difference is that copyright is a logical attribute of property right on the free market, while patent is a monopoly invasion of that right.Shaffer, then goes on to make another curious utilitarian argument against IP. He writes:
[T]he cross-fertilization of ideas, techniques and other influences, among communities of artists, have greatly enhanced the creative process. On the other hand when driven by the reward of patents, scientists and inventors are known to maintain secrecy in their laboratories and research lest a competitor gain insights that might advance their work.But a secret would only continue until a research project has produced results and IP protection is enforce. IP would free a researcher to be less secretive of his product. Further, Shaffer implies that with IP cross-fertilization of ideas would stop because of IP protection. The logic does not appear to follow this claim. If much greater advances in a given area are the result of the cross-fertilization of ideas, why wouldn't cross-fertilization occur? If I can make $10,000 by working alone, but $1 million by working in collaboration, why wouldn't I collaborate, even if IP protection does not require me to so so? Indeed, even in the academic arena, there are many collaborative scientific papers that are published on a daily basis, despite current copyright law.
Shaffer also hoists one of my favorite bizarre attacks on IP. He tells us:
Undoubtedly, the greatest invention in human history was language.[...]I suspect that, had any such [IP] restraints been available and enforced, we would never have realized the richness and vibrancy of the self-generated language we now enjoy.This is simply absurd. Words are used to communicate. If I invent a word to describe water, say the word, spiggle, and attempt to charge people who want to use it, no one is going to use the word. Someone in the community will come up with another word for water and allow free use of it--to advance communication. I would like to see Shaffer copyright one word, any word, and then try to sell the use of the word.
Note: The only area where it would make sense to actively seek IP protection of a word is when it identifies a specific product, e.g. Coca Cola (which in this case would be trademark IP), so that when we order this product we have a name for it that others making other products can't use. It this case, it would eliminate confusion. But the copyright of everyday words for common usage would never happen.
Shaffer then goes on to state a problem with government granting IP protection, but, again, this has nothing to do with IP in a private property society, though he fails to make clear the difference.
There are many other costs associated with IP that rarely get the attention in cost benefit analysis of the topic. One has to do with the fact that the patenting process, as with government regulation generally, is an expensive and time consuming task.Yes, this is a problem with GOVERNMENT granted IP protection, but it has nothing to do with contracts between individuals in a private property society.
Shaffer concludes:
The pragmatic arguments offered herein are intended to reinforce my case against IP. The essence of my views is found in the title of this article, upon which I rest my case. Can one, consistent with a libertarian philosophy, respect any "property" interest that is both created and enforced by the state, a system defined by its monopoly on the use of violence? I regard the proposition as indefensible as would be the question of a libertarian defense of war.Here once again, we see Shaffer jumbling government created IP law with IP that would develop in a private property society and wrongly dismissing the entire IP concept. What he has done, in parts of his booklet, is make a case against government involvement in IP, a view I concur with. However, he has made no solid case against private individual IP contracts and thus his booklet must be deemed a failure in making a libertarian case against IP.
The Truth about Those Studies that Say Increasing Minimum Wages Reduce Poverty
By Per Bylund
In a long and seemingly technical blog post on the Washington Post “wonkblog,” Roosevelt Institute fellow Mike Konczal suggests that raising the minimum wage will reduce poverty. He primarily relies on one meta study (Dube 2013, unpublished) to show that economists “do agree” “that raising the minimum wage would reduce poverty.”
Quickly reading through the article, it is obvious that this is the kind of perception Konczal wants the reader to get. Well, not so fast. The blog post exclusively refers to aggregates of different kinds, which obscures the analysis. And, if one reads more closely, Konczal includes several limitations and constraints to his thesis, and in fact agrees with the age-old truth that raising the minimum wage would kill off jobs. Minimum wage mandates above the present market wage of course has only one direct effect: jobs below that level are outlawed. Hence, any person on the job market with a productivity level (whatever the reason) below the minimum wage mandate will not be able to find a job.
Konczal’s text is a balancing act relying on arbitrary limits and vague language. For example, he relies on extrapolating on the elasticity of minimum wage found in several studies to be around -0.24 (which means, statistically, that raising the minimum wage by 1 % would reduce the number of poor people by 0.24 %), but says that one “shouldn’t take the effects of small changes to see what would happen if we, say, increased the minimum wage 500 percent, or to levels that don’t actually exist right now.” Right. This is true, but not because the elasticity of minimum wage at the level studied “is” -0.24, but because it was – using the specific data and methods in the particular study.
There are no constant relationships in the social world, which is the reason Konczal shows reluctance to extrapolate too far from the mean; but the same fact should also make him weary to assume the found elasticity is applicable on different time periods. (But the latter obviously doesn’t bother him.)
Throughout, Konczal uses the term “poverty.” But poverty statistics take into account only income, not what tasks are carried out within employment. If raising the minimum wage prohibits certain jobs (on which Konczal agrees), is it then not likely that the remaining jobs will change? Some of the tasks carried out by low-productivity labor cannot profitably be carried out by employees with higher wages, which means – to the extent they must be carried out – business owners and entrepreneurs will need to find other ways to get them done. Perhaps through excessive automation and capital investments, which would slightly increase the demand for labor in higher-earning professions (while raising the barriers to entry for other entrepreneurs). (This is, by the way, one of the rather crazy progressive arguments for outlawing manual labor – that it forces entrepreneurs to “innovate,” which increases productivity and thus wages for those remaining employable.)
Is it not likely that a higher minimum wage, which prohibits certain low-producing jobs, will force those in such jobs by choice (that is, those choosing low-productivity employment though they would be able to earn higher wages elsewhere) will instead seek employment with higher productivity? Is it not also likely that those who cannot muster higher productivity levels would accept unpaid overtime or other types of unpaid work just to remain salaried? Both of these effects may reduce the aggregate poverty statistic while forcing those unwilling or unable to get such “perks” from employers into unemployment. (It is furthermore probable that this in turn leads to an increase in black market employment opportunities, as well as outright abuse in the work place, as unscrupulous employers seeks ways to “deal” outside the system’s restrictions.)
But Konczal seems oblivious to these effects, perhaps because they cannot easily be studied using aggregates: the type of studies he refers to tend to perform statistical magic on selected data that reveal “levels” of employment, wages, poverty, etc. Exactly what the results tell us is far from clear, but this is typical for mainstream research. Changes within employment aren’t generally observable in the aggregate data, so why not assume it is unimportant?
Of course, Konczal cannot get around the fact that raising the minimum wage above the market wage will cause unemployment. And, which is unfortunate for statistics-enamored progressives, unemployment shows up in the aggregate employment statistics too. So he concludes that, based on the studies he cites, it is the case that “there are significant benefits, whatever the costs.”
Yes, some aggregate statistics will indeed look “better.” Whatever the costs.
(The above originally appeared at Mises.org)
(The above originally appeared at Mises.org)
Attorney For Goldman Sachs CEO Is Eric Holder's 'Best Friend'
Wyton Hall at Breitbart writes:
The crony connections just keep on coming over at Eric Holder’s Department of Justice.
Last week, the Justice Department announced that it will not prosecute Goldman Sachs or any of its employees in a financial probe.
Could that be because the attorney for Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein was none other than Attorney General Eric Holder’s “best friend” and former personal attorney, Reid Weingarten?
Or because in 2008, Goldman Sachs employees donated $1,013,091 to Barack Obama?
Or because Goldman Sachs is the former client of Eric Holder’s and Assistant Attorney General Lanny Breuer’s law firm, Covington & Burling?
Sunday, January 5, 2014
"Anti-Tax Crusader" Grover Norquist Has Given His Blessing to Taxes on Marijuana
With anti-tax crusaders like this, who needs tax supporters? Bruce Bartlett writes in te Fiscal Times:
Curiously, in his column, Bartlett does not provide a clue as to his position on such taxes, though, he does spend a considerable part of the column discussing how much revenue such taxes will generate for state governments. No comment at all about how tax revenues distort the economy and misdirect funds to bureaucratic monsters. Just a big blank from Bartlett.
[A]nti-tax crusader Grover Norquist has given his blessing to taxes on marijuana, since it is an extension of existing taxes on cigarettes and liquor applied to a comparable commodity, rather than a new tax per se.If Norquist was a real anti-tax crusader, he would be trying to get cigarette and liquor taxes abolished , not blessing a marijuana tax. Isn't that what an anti-tax crusader should be doing?
Curiously, in his column, Bartlett does not provide a clue as to his position on such taxes, though, he does spend a considerable part of the column discussing how much revenue such taxes will generate for state governments. No comment at all about how tax revenues distort the economy and misdirect funds to bureaucratic monsters. Just a big blank from Bartlett.
New Iris Mack Book: Energy Trading and Risk Management: A Practical Approach to Hedging, Trading and Portfolio Diversification
Iris emails:
It seems my new book is selling before we even begin the marketing.
http://www.amazon.com/Energy-Trading-Risk-Management- Diversification/dp/1118339339/ ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid= 1388586463&sr=8-1&keywords= iris+mack
The publisher John Wiley liked the book very much and has already asked me to do more books. So, needless to say, this will be a busy new year for me - marketing one book and writing another. LOL!
NY Fed Prez Warns: We Have No Idea If We Will Be Able to Smoothly Unwind the Trillions in Excess Reserves if That Money Starts to Hit the Economy
A large portion of newly printed Fed money has never hit the economy. $2.4 trillion worth! The money is sitting at the Federal Reserve as excess reserves. The Fed knows that if this money starts to enter the economy it will cause massive price inflation--and when they speak candidly ( a rare occurrence), it's clear they really don't know if they will be able to sop up the reserves without causing massive disruptions in the economy.
New York Fed president William Dudley, just yesterday, came as close as a senior Fed person is going to come in admitting this major looming problem/
WSJ reports on comments made by him during a panel discussion, on Saturday, in Philadelphia (Note: "moving to a more normalized state of monetary policy" means soaking up the excess reserves if they start hitting the economy)
New York Fed president William Dudley, just yesterday, came as close as a senior Fed person is going to come in admitting this major looming problem/
WSJ reports on comments made by him during a panel discussion, on Saturday, in Philadelphia (Note: "moving to a more normalized state of monetary policy" means soaking up the excess reserves if they start hitting the economy)
Mr. Dudley also said that when it comes time to unwind the Fed’s easy-money stance, uncertainty is again a major issue facing central bankers.
“There could be unintended consequences” about moving to a more normalized state of monetary policy, he said.When Dudley says “We just don’t have experience with this kind of episode." He means it. Below is a chart of excess reserves since 1980. They barely existed before Bernanke started printing like a mad man in late 2008. If this money starts to hit the economy, price inflation, without doubt, will hit double digit levels.
One of the big challenges facing central bankers now is the unprecedented nature of current policy. “We just don’t have experience with this kind of episode,” he said.
Mr. Dudley said the longer-run framework for monetary policy is also up in the air, given all the changes the Fed has made in its tool kit for influencing the economy. “There is an open question” about how the Fed will conduct monetary policy over the long run, the official said.
He declined to say what the fate of a new central bank tool designed to soak up liquidity will be. Fed officials have been upbeat about this facility, known as fixed-rate overnight reverse repurchases agreements. It is in a testing phase scheduled to end at the end of this month.
Kentuckians Don't Want Rand Paul to Run for President
Public Policy Polling reports:
Read the rest here.
Only 35% of Kentucky voters think Rand Paul should run for President, compared to 49% who think he should sit it out. But he'd still be a favorite in both the primary and general elections in the state.
34% of GOP primary voters say he'd be their top choice to 20% for Jeb Bush, 12% Chris Christie, 7% Ted Cruz, 5% each for Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan, 3% for Bobby Jindal, and 2% each for Rick Santorum and Scott Walker. Paul's standing is pretty similar to the 31% he had in April. He's particularly strong with voters identifying as 'very conservative,' where he gets 43% to 16% for Bush. The big mover since the spring has been Rubio, who's declined from 17% on our last poll down all the way now to 5%.
Paul is also the strongest Republican for the general election in Kentucky, leading Hillary Clinton by 6 points at 49/43. Bush and Christie both lead Clinton by 4 points at 46/42 and 44/40 respectively. Ted Cruz actually trails Clinton 44/41 in the state, a good data point for how weak he is. Clinton does far better than Barack Obama did in all of these match ups, even if winning the state still seems like a long shot.
-Paul has a decent 49/40 approval rating but Kentucky's most popular politician is its Democratic Governor Steve Beshear, who comes in at 51/33. Speaking to the difficulty Democrats have in federal races in Kentucky though, Paul would lead Beshear 49/42 in a hypothetical contest despite Beshear's greater popularity. In a rematch of their 2010 contest Paul would lead Jack Conway by the same 12 point margin of victory he attained last time around, 50/38. Half way through his first term Paul's in pretty decent shape for getting another.
Read the rest here.
Will 2014 Be the Year of the Great Price Inflation?
Michael Aronstein, a hedge fund manager with $18 billion under management, thinks so.
FT reports:
FT reports:
[Aronstein] and his team pore over price data from hundreds upon hundreds of commodities and manufactured goods, and he highlights proteins – shrimp, beef, chicken – and US lumber among the areas where price spikes are already developing. It is outwards from these pressure points, he says, that the world will finally move from asset price inflation to real consumer price rises.He thinks the crash in the bond market (which I have been warning about in the EPJ Daily Alert) has already started:
[Aronstein has] bets that central banks will wait too long to end their crisis-era monetary expansion, triggering inflation spikes and a long bear market in bonds that might already be more than a year old.
“They never fail to make that error,” he says, “because they’re structured as bureaucracies and they have to wait until they have enough evidence to convince everybody in the room.
“The only period that may be comparable to this is after the discovery of the New World, when all the Europeans looted all the gold and silver, new money out of the sky, a la the Bernanke Doctrine. You had, basically, a century of inflation in Europe. The tulip bubble didn’t come out of nowhere; that wasn’t just people’s appetite for flowers.”[...]
“All grand excesses have the same form, with different content,” he says. “Japan was no different, in concept, than the ‘Nifty 50’ in 1972. We’ve got bonds now,” Mr Aronstein says.
Rand Paul Not Opposed to Extending Unemployment Benefits
Let's see how libertarian Rand Paul apologists are going to try and spin this.
During an appearance today on ABC's "This Week," Newsmax reports that Rand said he is not opposed to renewing the extension of long-term unemployment benefits, but he wants to make sure they are paid for before doing so.
"I think it's wrong to borrow money from China or simply to print up money for it," he said.
Aside from this not being a libertarian position, it is not even a conservative position. It is generally held by lefty pathological altruists.
And what kind of position is it to say one is in favor of it "as long as it is paid for"? What happened to the plan to reduce government spending?
I have warned before, Rand will take on more and more statists positions as the 2016 presidential race gets closer. He wants to be president real bad and will say and do whatever it takes, of course, trying to use as much nebulous wording as possible to confuse as many as possible.
During an appearance today on ABC's "This Week," Newsmax reports that Rand said he is not opposed to renewing the extension of long-term unemployment benefits, but he wants to make sure they are paid for before doing so.
"I think it's wrong to borrow money from China or simply to print up money for it," he said.
Aside from this not being a libertarian position, it is not even a conservative position. It is generally held by lefty pathological altruists.
And what kind of position is it to say one is in favor of it "as long as it is paid for"? What happened to the plan to reduce government spending?
I have warned before, Rand will take on more and more statists positions as the 2016 presidential race gets closer. He wants to be president real bad and will say and do whatever it takes, of course, trying to use as much nebulous wording as possible to confuse as many as possible.
Peter Klein: The Usefulness of Austrian Economics
To enroll in Klein’s forthcoming Mises Academy course, visit http://Academy.Mises.org
Rand Paul: No Clemency for Snowden, But Just 'A Few Years in Prison'
Yesterday, Justin Raimondo charged that I mischaracterized what Rand Paul said, when I wrote the post headline: Some Libertarian: Rand Paul Calls for the Jailing of Edward Snowden.
What has to be realized about Rand is that he is one slippery dude when it comes to words. Unless he is nailed very directly, he will provide nuanced answers that even careful observers such as Raimondo can miss the point of. Fortunately, he got nailed this morning on his true position on Snowden. He wants jail time for him.
Newsmax reports:
(ht Felix Bronstein)
UPDATE
Here is ABC News reporting on what Rand said:
@WenzelEconomics No such statement is in the link you provide.
— Justin Raimondo (@JustinRaimondo) January 4, 2014
@WenzelEconomics This one: http://t.co/1i9WFzvgg6 Clearly he is saying IF Snowden, THEN Clapper. Your bias confirmation is showing.
— Justin Raimondo (@JustinRaimondo) January 4, 2014
@WenzelEconomics Speaking extemporaneously on TV is hard. Try it sometime. And DC is a neocon rag 4 the most part.
— Justin Raimondo (@JustinRaimondo) January 5, 2014
What has to be realized about Rand is that he is one slippery dude when it comes to words. Unless he is nailed very directly, he will provide nuanced answers that even careful observers such as Raimondo can miss the point of. Fortunately, he got nailed this morning on his true position on Snowden. He wants jail time for him.
Newsmax reports:
In a wide-ranging interview Sunday on ABC's "This Week," Paul defended a statement he has taken heat over: that Snowden and National Intelligence Director James Clapper should "share a prison cell."[...]
Snowden doesn't deserve a life sentence or death penalty, Paul said, because courts have ruled that his revelations show the intelligence community committing illegal acts. Paul added, however, that Snowden should get "a few years in prison" because it is not OK to leak state secrets.
(ht Felix Bronstein)
UPDATE
Here is ABC News reporting on what Rand said:
Sen. Rand Paul Calls for ‘Reasonable Sentence’ for Edward Snowden
Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., a critic of the NSA who is bringing a class action lawsuit against its surveillance programs, said on “This Week” that he does not believe NSA leaker Edward Snowden should be given clemency, but that he should be offered a “fair trial with a reasonable sentence” to allow him to return to the U.S. to face charges.
“I don’t think Edward Snowden deserves the death penalty or life in prison, I think that’s inappropriate, and I think that’s why he fled, because that’s what he faced,” Paul told George Stephanopoulos on “This Week” Sunday. “Do I think that it’s okay to leak secrets and give up national secrets and things that could endanger lives? I don’t think that’s okay either, but I think the courts are now saying that what he revealed was something the government was doing was illegal.”
Paul compared Snowden’s law-breaking to the controversial testimony of Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, who previously testified before Congress that the NSA did not collect data from American citizens intentionally.
“I don’t think we can selectively apply the law. So James Clapper did break the law and there is a prison sentence for that. So did Edward Snowden,” Paul said.
“So I think personally he probably would come home for some penalty of a few years in prison which would be probably not unlike what James Clapper probably deserves for lying to Congress, and that maybe if they served in a prison cell together, we’d become further enlightened as a country over what we should and shouldn’t do,” Paul added.
Ralph Raico: The World at War
From Circle Bastiat:
In this 1983 lecture, Ralph Raico teaches a Cato Summer Seminar group the history of World War I, the Great Depression, and World War II. He offers an in-depth look at the conditions which led to both wars and the ways in which governments throughout the 20th century have used war powers to justify and fuel their expansion.
In this 1983 lecture, Ralph Raico teaches a Cato Summer Seminar group the history of World War I, the Great Depression, and World War II. He offers an in-depth look at the conditions which led to both wars and the ways in which governments throughout the 20th century have used war powers to justify and fuel their expansion.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)

