Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Paulson Hedge Fund Buys Into Mortgage Securities

John Paulson, the hedge fund manager (not to be confused with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson), who was called before Congress last week to discuss the huge profits ($3.7 billion) he made by foreseeing the collapse of the subprime mortgage market and shortng mortgage backed securities, has started to buy securities backed by residential mortgages.

US residential mortgage securities fell in value last week after Hank Paulson, Treasury secretary, said that the federal government had decided against buying toxic assets as part of its $700bn troubled asset relief program.

Paulson has told his investors that he started buying troubled mortgage-backed securities at the end of last week, hoping to capitalise on price falls that followed the Treasury announcement,according to FT.

Cuban's Insider Trading Charge: Payback For Anti-Bush Movie?

Wow, when I made the post below, I did not expect the Mark Cuban story to develop this quickly, bizarrely and intensely.

A person close to Mark Cuban, has told DealBook that an SEC employee had sent Cuban e-mails several times over the last year or so, accusing him of being unpatriotic. Cuban was today charged by the SEC with insider trading. The emails from the SEC employee raised concerns about Cuban’s involvement as producer of “Loose Change”, a documentary that accuses the Bush administration of engineering the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks as a pretext for the Iraq war.

The Cuban camp contends this semi-coherent email was sent by SEC employee Jeffrey Norris:


From: Norris, Jeffrey B.
Sent: Saturday, May 05, 2007 2:27 PM
To: Mark Cuban
Cc: Cox, Christopher

Subject: RE: “Lose Change”

I AM SHARING THIS WITH CHAIRMAN COX. NEITHER HE NOR THE COMMISSION ENDORSE MY OPINIONS, BUT IN LIGHT OF YOUR THREAT, I THOUGHT SHOULD SEND THIS TO HIM.

Mark:

If this upsets you, I wonder how George Bush feels. I assume that Mr. Cox would view your involvement with “Loose Change” much as I do. After all, he served his country as a Republican Congressman from Orange County for nearly 20 years and was appointed by President Bush. If you feel like sharing my thoughts with Chairman Cox, be my guest.

Previously, I thought you were merely foolish and naïve (sic). Now, however, I see that you are also a hypocrite. I guess your belief in free speech has severe limitations. If someone else is the victim of an absurd conspiracy theory, you defend your right to participate in smearing the good name of of a patriot like President Bush. But, when you are the subject of a parody of the attack you have endorsed, you suddenly issue threats.

I think I will e-mail this to Chairman Cox myself. I think he will enjoy it. I’m sure he is also a Laker (sic)fan.

Since Chairman Cox may not know the background, I will explain. Mark Cuban is the owner of the Dallas Mavericks and has participated in distributing the vicious and absurd documentary, “Loose Change,” which posits that President Bush planned the demolition of the World Trade Center as a pretext for going to war against Iraq. We have had some past exchanges about my opinion the Mr. Cuban’s support for this project is irresponsible and immoral. Below, I parodied his position that every opinion, no matter how absurd and vicious, deserves to be broadly disseminated.
Curiously, SEC chairman Christopher Cox recused himself from the commission vote on whether to bring charges against Cuban.

In a statement, an S.E.C. spokesman told DealBook that the insider-trading investigation was run out of the Commission’s Washington headquarters. Norris worked out of a regional office and had no role in or knowledge of the investigation. He was “referred for disciplinary action,” the spokesman said.

But, the regional SEC office turns out to be Fort Worth, TX and Norris is listed on numerous public court filings (See here, here and here) as a Senior Trial Counsel, U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission, Fort Worth, TX Cuban lives next door in Dallas.

SEC Bites A Big Dog

Does SEC Chairman Chris Cox have another public relations nightmare on his hands?

The billionaire owner of the Dallas Mavericks, Mark Cuban, has been charged with insider trading by the SEC. Note to SEC, Mark Cuban is not Martha Stewart.

The SEC may have thought they had another lay up on their hands, instead they appear to be going up against someone that is not afraid to rip at the core of the SEC and its enforcement actions. He is a fighter and has the billions to back up his fight.

The tough Mark "I go for the throat when you mess with me" Cuban is already in prime form. There are some very interesting allegations already developing out of a case that has been public news for less than 24 hours. But the allegations are not from the SEC, they are from Mark Cuban and his lawyers.

On his web site Cuban states (my emphasis), “I am disappointed that the Commission chose to bring this case based upon its Enforcement staff’s win-at-any-cost ambitions. The staff’s process was result-oriented, facts be damned. The government’s claims are false and they will be proven to be so.”
Cuban's lawyer, Ralph C. Ferrara of Dewey & LeBoeuf LLP, stated (My emphasis), "This matter, which has been pending before the Commission for nearly two years, has no merit and is a product of gross abuse of prosecutorial discretion. Mr. Cuban intends to contest the allegations and to demonstrate that the Commission’s claims are infected by the misconduct of the staff of its Enforcement Division."
Another Cuban lawyer, Christopher Clark, told FOX news that the SEC's text of a phone call is completely wrong. "If there is a tape of them everybody can play it and it's not going to say anything like what the SEC quoted." This sounds to me like Clark is charging the SEC with lying.
Clark went on to make an even bigger charge:
People who criticize the SEC have a much higher chance of having an enforcement action brought against them and we're going to demonstrate that. Very persuasively. In the right forum.
Cuban runs a site called BailoutSleuth.com which tracks what happens with bailout money and monitors any questionable behavior by those who are receiving and handing it out.

This case has the potential to rip the SEC to smithereens. Get your popcorn ready.

Monday, November 17, 2008

llana Mercer Says A GM Bailout Is About...

...bad economists and politcal pimps.

I second that and extend that to say, all micro-managing of an economy is about bad economists and political pimps.

Grassely's Probe of Ex-Goldman Execs at Treasury Could Lead Directly to Paulson

Obviously, the political winds have shifted, Senator Chuck Grassely is calling for an investigation of ex-Goldman execs at Treasury. FT reports:

A senior Republican senator is seeking an investigation into potential conflicts of interest among former Goldman Sachs executives serving at the US Treasury and whether any officials exceeded their authority by implementing a controversial tax change without the approval of Congress.

Chuck Grassley, the most senior Republican on the Senate finance committee, asked Eric Thorson, inspector-general of the Treasury, to investigate the "independence" of several Treasury officials who formerly worked at Goldman Sachs and serve as advisers to Treasury secretary Hank Paulson, the former chief executive of the Wall Street bank.

Mr Grassley said in a letter to Mr Thorson that there was reason to be concerned that “relationships” between the officials and board members at two merging banks, Wells Fargo and Wachovia, gave the “appearance of preferential treatment”.

Mr Grassley singled out Robert Steel, a former Goldman official who worked under Mr Paulson at the Treasury before he became chief executive of Wachovia...

Mr Grassley, who has a reputation for aggressively uncovering and pursuing tax evasion, has a previous working relationship with Mr Thorson, who served as chief investigator for the Senate finance committee and whom Mr Grassley once praised for having “integrity and courage”.
Since ex-Goldman CEO and current Treasury Secretary Paulson signed and approved the tax change, this investigation is headed right at Paulson.

For background on this developing story, read my October 6 post, Pigs At The Trough: Behind The Citigroup, Wachovia, Wells Fargo Circus.

Europe and Japan Officially in Recessions

From The Independent: It's official: eurozone collapses into its first recession:

Europe's economy officially collapsed into recession for the first time since its inception during the third quarter ... The eurozone, made up of the 15 countries that use the euro as their primary currency, shrank by 0.2 percentage points between July and the end of September, having contracted by the same margin during the preceding three months as well. ...

Germany and Italy, the continent's largest and fourth largest economies, dragged the eurozone down – both slipped into recession during the third quarter. Spain also suffered its first quarter of negative growth in 15 years. However, France just managed to maintain a positive growth rate.


From Bloomberg: Japan's Economy Shrinks 0.4%, Confirming Recession:

Japan's economy, the world's second largest, contracted more than economists expected in the third quarter, confirming it entered its first recession since 2001 as companies cut back spending.

Gross domestic product fell an annualized 0.4 percent in the three months ended Sept. 30 ...
The United States has not yet been officially declared in recession, Jeffrey Frankel who directs the program in International Finance and Macroeconomics at the National Bureau of Economic Research, where he is also a member of the Business Cycle Dating Committee, says:

The weight of evidence is now overwhelming: We are currently in recession.

Inhofe: Forget Credit Squeeze, Freeze Paulson

U.S. Senator. Jim Inhofe (R-OK) lets go on Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson. He told the Tulsa World:

It is just outrageous that the American people don't know that Congress doesn't know how much money he (Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson) has given away to anyone.

It could be to his friends. It could be to anybody else. We don't know. There is no way of knowing.

He was able to get this authority from Congress predicated on what he was going to do, and then he didn't do it.

I have learned a long time ago. When they come up and say this has to be done and has to be done immediately, there is no other way of doing it, you have to sit back and take a deep breath and nine times out of 10 they are not telling the truth.

And this is one of those nine times.
Inhofe wants to freeze what is left of the initial $350 billion — reportedly $60 billion, but Inhofe concedes he does not know for sure, according to the Tulsa World.

Then he wants a provision requiring an affirmative vote by Congress before Paulson can get his hands on the second $350 billion of bailout money.

Inhofe may be the only member of the Senate who actually understands economics. He told the Tulsa World, with regard to extending unemployment benefits, that, "You don't stimulate the economy by giving away more money."

With regard to an automobile industry bailout, Inhofe said "If we keep on nursing a broken system, then we can't expect to have a different result come later on."

Obama Wants To Put $150 Billion Into the Greenie-Industrial Complex

...and wants "a new spirit of sacrifice" from all of us.

Is This An Endorsement?

"[Larry]Summers is one of a few who are at Krugman's level of intellect."

-Posted at Economists for Obama, in support of Summers being chosen by Obama as Treasury Secretary.

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Sunday, November 16, 2008

A Billionaire Promotes His Book

When five of the richest and most powerful US hedge fund proprietors gave sworn testimony before the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform last week, the theatrical opportunities were as rich as the witnesses’ themselves, David Warsh comments. Billioniare George Soros had his latest book on reflexivity and financial crises, The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What It Means, on display on the table in front of him.

Citibank Alert: The Week Ahead

With its stock crashing, Citibank holds a "townhall" meeting Monday.

The Transfer of Risk to Idiot Shareholders...and Then To Taxpayers

Michael Lewis, author of Liar's Poker, explains (ViaMP):

John Gutfreund did violence to the Wall Street social order—and got himself dubbed the King of Wall Street—when he turned Salomon Brothers from a private partnership into Wall Street’s first public corporation. He ignored the outrage of Salomon’s retired partners. (“I was disgusted by his materialism,” William Salomon, the son of the firm’s founder, who had made Gutfreund C.E.O. only after he’d promised never to sell the firm, had told me.)

He lifted a giant middle finger at the moral disapproval of his fellow Wall Street C.E.O.s. And he seized the day. He and the other partners not only made a quick killing; they transferred the ultimate financial risk from themselves to their shareholders. It didn’t, in the end, make a great deal of sense for the shareholders.

But it made fantastic sense for the investment bankers. From that moment, though, the Wall Street firm became a black box. The shareholders who financed the risks had no real understanding of what the risk takers were doing, and as the risk-taking grew ever more complex, their understanding diminished. The moment Salomon Brothers demonstrated the potential gains to be had by the investment bank as public corporation, the psychological foundations of Wall Street shifted from trust to blind faith.

No investment bank owned by its employees would have levered itself 35 to 1 or bought and held $50 billion in mezzanine C.D.O.s. I doubt any partnership would have sought to game the rating agencies or leap into bed with loan sharks or even allow mezzanine C.D.O.s to be sold to its customers. The hoped-for short-term gain would not have justified the long-term hit.

Now I asked Gutfreund about his biggest decision. “Yes,” he said. “They—the heads of the other Wall Street firms—all said what an awful thing it was to go public and how could you do such a thing. But when the temptation arose, they all gave in to it.” He agreed that the main effect of turning a partnership into a corporation was to transfer the financial risk to the shareholders. “When things go wrong, it’s their problem,” he said—and obviously not theirs alone. When a Wall Street investment bank screwed up badly enough, its risks became the problem of the U.S. government . “It’s laissez-faire until you get in deep shit,” he said, with a half chuckle. He was out of the game.

Obviously, the government shouldn't be in the game. The shareholders at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley should have been allowed to fail just like Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers shareholders. Burned shareholers wouldn't be investing in investment banks again any time soon, and new financially grounded partnerships would rise from the ashes.


Is Kashkari A Chump?

Congress beats up on Neel Kashkari. I would be impressed if they treated Ben Bernanke this way.

Obama A Blog Junkie?

"[Obama] received a scaled-down list of news clippings, with his advisers wanting to keep him from reading blogs and news updates all day long, yet aides said he still seemed to hear about nearly everything in real time." via AlleyInsider.com

The Auto Industry Bailout...

is a road we have been down before. It was a mistake in the past and is a mistake now. Richard Ebeling explains.

Iran Switches Reserves to Gold

"With the plans of the presidency...the country's money reserves were changed into gold so that we wouldn't be faced with many problems in the future," presidential adviser Mojtaba Samareh-Hashemi was quoted as saying by business daily Poul.

He gave no figures or other details.

This is why most governments hate gold. You can't put sanctions on physical gold the way you can on a bank account at Citi. Gold has no smell.